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Guardians vs. White Sox Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

04 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians will aim to keep a three-game win streak going when they host the Chicago White Sox at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. Parker Messick (7-5, 2.85 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, who are 47-42 this season and first in the AL Central. Sean Burke (5-4, 3.69 ERA) is the expected starter for the White Sox, who are 45-42 and second in the AL Central.

The Guardians are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-144) at home over the White Sox (+118). The over/under for the Guardians-White Sox game is set at 7.5.

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field
  • Favorite: Guardians (-144)
  • Underdog: White Sox (+118)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. White Sox

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Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians are 26-23 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 53.1% of those games).
  • Chicago has come away with 35 wins in the 72 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season Cleveland has won eight of its 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the White Sox have come away with a win 21 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Guardians' implied win probability is 59%.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 89 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-46-0).
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 87 games with a total this season.
  • The Guardians have covered 49.4% of their games this season, going 44-45-0 ATS.
  • The White Sox are 50-37-0 against the spread in their 87 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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