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Cubs vs. Cardinals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

04 July 2026 By Data Skrive

Bryan Torres rides a two-game homer streak into the St. Louis Cardinals' game versus the Chicago Cubs at 8:08 p.m. ET on Saturday, at Wrigley Field. Shota Imanaga (5-6, 4.30 ERA) gets the start for the Cubs, who are 49-39 this season and second in the NL Central. Kyle Leahy (6-4, 4.09 ERA) is starting for the Cardinals, who are 46-39 and third in the NL Central.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Cubs (-163) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Cardinals (+133) at home. The game's over/under is set at 8.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Game time: 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field
  • Favorite: Cubs (-163)
  • Underdog: Cardinals (+133)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Cubs vs. Cardinals

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Cubs vs. Cardinals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Cubs are 34-27 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55.7% of those games).
  • St. Louis has been pegged as an underdog in 61 games this year and has walked away with the win 31 times (50.8%) in those games.
  • Chicago is 12-7 this season when entering a game favored by -163 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Cardinals have come away with a win five times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Cubs have an implied win probability of 62%.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cubs vs. Cardinals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Cubs have played in 88 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-38-2).
  • St. Louis' games have gone over the total in 34 of its 85 chances.
  • The Cubs have collected a 36-52-0 record against the spread this season (covering 40.9% of the time).
  • The Cardinals are 50-35-0 against the spread in their 85 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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