Bears vs. Jets Week 4 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Chicago Bears (2-1) are favored by 3.5 points against the New York Jets (1-2) on October 4, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 43.5.

On offense, the Bears have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 29.7 points per game. They rank seventh on defense (17.7 points allowed per game). The Jets rank 13th in the NFL with 329.0 total yards per game, but they've been carried by their defense, which ranks second-best by surrendering only 258.3 total yards per contest.

Bears vs. Jets Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Chicago, Illinois
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Bears -3.5
• Moneyline: Bears (-185), Jets (+154)

How to watch Bears vs. Jets

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Bears vs. Jets

• Bears matchups have gone over 43.5 points only once this season (in three contests).
• Games featuring Chicago have gone over the point total once this season.
• The Jets and their opponents have scored more than 43.5 combined points once this season.
• So far this year, one New York game has gone over the point total.
• The teams combine to score 51 points per game, 7.5 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to score 38 points per game, 5.5 fewer points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Bears vs. Jets

• Chicago has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
• Chicago has not covered the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
• The Jets have won two games against the spread this season.
• New York has been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.

Betting the Moneyline: Bears vs. Jets

• Chicago has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
• This season, the Jets have been the underdog three times and won one of those games.
• Chicago has played as a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter in just one game this season, which it lost.
• New York has played as an underdog of +154 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Bears have an implied win probability of 64.9%.

Dunkel Prediction for Bears vs. Jets

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