Bears vs. Packers Week 5 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Chicago Bears (3-1) and Green Bay Packers (2-2) will meet in a battle of two division rivals. The Bears are small favorites (-2.5). The over/under for this one is set at 45.5 points.

The Bears own the ninth-ranked offense this season (28.0 points per game), and they've been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with just 16.3 points allowed per game. The Packers' offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, registering 18.3 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 23rd with 26.3 points surrendered per contest.

Bears vs. Packers Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Green Bay, Wisconsin
• Venue: Lambeau Field
• Total: 45.5 points
• Spread: Bears -2.5
• Moneyline: Bears (-148), Packers (+124)

How to watch Bears vs. Packers

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Bears vs. Packers

• So far this season, one of the Bears matchups has gone over 45.5 points.
• Chicago games have hit the over just once this season.
• The Packers and their opponents have combined to score more than 45.5 points twice this season.
• So far this year, two Green Bay games have hit the over.
• These teams score 46.3 points per game combined, 0.8 more than this game's point total.
• Opponents of these two teams average 42.6 points per game combined, 2.9 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Bears vs. Packers

• Chicago has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
• Chicago has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Packers have not won against the spread this season in four opportunities.
• Green Bay has not covered the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).

Betting the Moneyline: Bears vs. Packers

• Chicago has won two of the three games it was favored on the moneyline this season (66.7%).
• The Packers lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
• Chicago has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -148 or shorter.
• Green Bay has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +124 moneyline set for this game.
• The Bears have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Bears vs. Packers

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