Bears vs. Falcons Week 6 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Chicago Bears (3-2) are considered favorites (-3) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Atlanta Falcons (2-3) on October 18, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is 49.5.

The Bears are totaling 392.4 yards per game on offense (seventh in NFL), and they rank ninth on defense with 311.4 yards allowed per game. The Falcons are generating 23.8 points per contest on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 24.4 points per contest (21st-ranked) on defense.

Bears vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Total: 49.5 points
• Spread: Bears -3
• Moneyline: Bears (-180), Falcons (+150)

How to watch Bears vs. Falcons

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Bears vs. Falcons

• Only one of the Bears five contests has gone over 49.5 points.
• Games featuring Chicago have hit the over just once this season.
• The Falcons and their opponents have combined to score more than 49.5 points twice this season.
• Atlanta and its opponent have combined to go over the point total three out of five times this season.
• The teams average 47.6 points per game combined, 1.9 fewer than this matchup's total.
• These teams allow a combined 43.6 points per game, 5.9 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Bears vs. Falcons

• Chicago has covered the spread three times in five games this season.
• Chicago has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• The Falcons have a record of 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
• Atlanta has covered the spread once when an underdog by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).

Betting the Moneyline: Bears vs. Falcons

• Chicago has won 50% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (2-2).
• The Falcons have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
• Chicago has played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-1 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +150 on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Bears' implied win probability is 64.3%.

Dunkel Prediction for Bears vs. Falcons

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