Capitals vs. Stars NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 7

The Washington Capitals (22-15-6) will host the Dallas Stars (25-10-8) on Wednesday, with Justin Sourdif coming off a hat trick in the Capitals' last game. The sportsbooks see this as a close one, with the Capitals -115 to win on the moneyline, and the Stars at -105.

Washington claimed a 7-4 victory at home its last time out on Jan. 5 against the Anaheim Ducks. Sourdif had five points (three goals and two assists) for the Capitals.

Dallas' most recent game was a road loss, 6-3, against the Carolina Hurricanes on Jan. 6. Jason Robertson led the Stars with three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup.

Ahead of this matchup, here's who we expect to bring home the win in Wednesday's hockey game.

Capitals vs. Stars Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Dallas Stars, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Capitals 4 - Stars 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.02 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Capitals vs. Stars Moneylines

Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Capitals-Stars game.

• Favorite: Capitals (-115)
• Underdog: Stars (-105)

Capitals Betting Insights

• The Capitals are 18-12 this season when favored on the moneyline.
• Washington is 17-12 (winning 58.6% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Capitals have an implied probability of 53.5% to win.
• Washington's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 19 times.

Stars Betting Insights

• The Stars have won six of the nine games they have played as an underdog this season.
• Dallas has a record of 5-3 in games when sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least -105 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 51.2% chance of victory for the Stars.
• Dallas' games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 21 of 43 times.

Capitals Key Stats

• Washington's 142 total goals (3.3 per game) rank sixth in the league.
• The Capitals have conceded 120 total goals (2.8 per game), ranking eighth in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
• Its goal differential (+22) makes the team fourth-best in the league.
• The 19 power-play goals the Capitals have put up this season rank 27th in the NHL (on 122 power-play chances).
• Washington has the league's 30th-ranked power-play conversion rate (15.57%).
• The Capitals have capitalized with one shorthanded goal this season (26th among NHL teams).
• Washington has the league's 27th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.87%).
• Washington wins 49.1% of its faceoffs to rank 22nd in the NHL.
• The Capitals make 11.3% of their shots (11th in the league).

Stars Key Stats

• Dallas' 146 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank second in the league.
• The Stars' total of 120 goals allowed (2.8 per game) is eighth in the league.
• With a goal differential of +26, the team is third-best in the league in that category.
• The Stars have 39 power-play goals (on 130 chances), second in the NHL.
• Dallas has the league's second-best power-play percentage (30%).
• The Stars have two shorthanded goals (20th in NHL).
• At 81.29%, Dallas has the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• At 52%, Dallas has the league's sixth-best faceoff win rate.
• The 13.5% shooting percentage of the Stars leads the league.