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Capitals vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 12

12 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a defeat -- will face each other on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET, at Capital One Arena in Washington. The bookmakers have made the Capitals solid favorites at -148 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +124.

Washington won 6-3 on the road its last time out on April 11 against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Ilya Protas' three points (one goal and two assists) led the Capitals.

Pittsburgh lost 6-3 at home against the Washington Capitals in its most recent game on April 11. Ryan Shea led the Penguins with two points (two assists) in that outing.

As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which club we predict will pick up the victory in Sunday's game.

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Capitals vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Capitals 4 - Penguins 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Capitals vs. Penguins Moneylines

Take a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Capitals-Penguins matchup.

  • Favorite: Capitals (-148)
  • Underdog: Penguins (+124)

Capitals Betting Insights

  • The Capitals have won 56.6% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (30-23).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter, Washington is 14-10 (winning 58.3% of the time).
  • The Capitals' implied moneyline win probability is 59.7% in this contest.
  • Washington and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 33 of 79 games this season.

Penguins Betting Insights

  • This season the Penguins have won 22 of the 46 games, or 47.8%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Pittsburgh has entered 23 games this season as an underdog by +124 or more and is 10-13 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Penguins have a 44.6% chance to win.
  • Pittsburgh has played 45 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington's 256 total goals (3.2 per game) rank 13th in the league.
  • The Capitals rank 11th in goals against, allowing 237 total goals (3.0 per game) in NHL action.
  • Its goal differential (+19) ranks 11th in the league.
  • The 42 power-play goals the Capitals have scored this season rank 22nd in the NHL (on 237 power-play chances).
  • Washington ranks 27th in the league with a 17.72% power-play conversion rate.
  • The four shorthanded goals the Capitals have scored this season rank 26th among NHL teams.
  • Washington has the league's 13th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (79.92%).
  • Washington wins 49.1% of its faceoffs to rank 22nd in the NHL.
  • The Capitals have an 11.4% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 13th in the league.

Penguins Key Stats

  • With 285 goals (3.6 per game), Pittsburgh has the league's third-best offense.
  • The Penguins have conceded 248 total goals this season (3.1 per game), 23rd in the league.
  • It has the sixth-best goal differential in the league at +37.
  • The Penguins have 56 power-play goals (on 228 chances), sixth in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh scores on 24.56% of its power plays, No. 6 in the NHL.
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Penguins have six.
  • The 81.55% penalty-kill percentage of Pittsburgh is eighth in the league.
  • At 48.1%, Pittsburgh has the league's 24th-ranked faceoff win rate.
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.5%, the Penguins are third in the league.

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