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Capitals vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 7

07 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will meet on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at Capital One Arena in Washington. The Penguins are underdogs on the road, at +136, and the Capitals are -162.

Ahead of this matchup, here is who we project to emerge victorious in Wednesday's hockey game.

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Capitals vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Capitals 3 - Penguins 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4 goals)

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Capitals vs. Penguins Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Capitals-Penguins game.

  • Favorite: Capitals (-162)
  • Underdog: Penguins (+136)

Capitals Betting Insights

  • The Capitals were 31-23 when favored on the moneyline last season.
  • Washington had a 6-8 record (winning 42.9% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Capitals have an implied win probability of 61.8%.
  • Washington's games last season finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 33 times.

Penguins Betting Insights

  • Last season the Penguins won 23 of the 51 games, or 45.1%, in which they were an underdog.
  • Pittsburgh played 17 games last season as an underdog by +136 or more and went 6-11.
  • The Penguins have a 42.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh played 47 games last season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington ranked 15th in the league last season with 261 goals scored (3.2 per game).
  • The Capitals gave up 238 total goals (2.9 per game), ranking seventh in league action for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +23 goal differential ranked 11th in the league.
  • The 43 power-play goals the Capitals scored last season (on 241 power-play chances) ranked 22nd in the NHL.
  • Washington's 17.84% power-play conversion rate ranked 25th in the league.
  • The Capitals recorded four shorthanded goals last season (26th among NHL teams).
  • Washington's 80.16% penalty-kill success rate ranked 14th in the league.
  • Washington had the 20th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 49.2%.
  • The Capitals shot 11.4% as a team (14th in the league).

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh's 290 goals last season (3.5 per game) ranked third in the NHL.
  • The Penguins' total of 258 goals conceded (3.2 per game) was 24th in the league.
  • Its +32 goal differential was seventh-best in the league.
  • The Penguins had 56 power-play goals (on 232 chances), seventh in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh's power-play percentage (24.14) put the team seventh in the league.
  • The Penguins had six shorthanded goals (16th in league).
  • The 81.43% penalty-kill percentage of Pittsburgh was seventh in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh was 24th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (48.2%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.5%, the Penguins were third in the league.

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