Capitals vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 8

Both the Washington Capitals and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a defeat, heading into their meeting at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Maple Leafs are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +130, and the Capitals are -155.

Washington fell 8-1 on the road its last time out on April 5 against the New York Rangers. The Capitals got one point apiece out of three skaters, including Tom Wilson (one assist) and Martin Fehervary (one assist).

Toronto lost 7-6 in overtime on the road against the Los Angeles Kings in its most recent game on April 4. Matthew Knies (two goals and one assist) and John Tavares (one goal and two assists) each had three points for the Maple Leafs in that outing.

Here's our pick for who will capture the victory in Wednesday's game.

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Capitals 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.07 goals)
  

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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Capitals-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Capitals (-155)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+130)

Capitals Betting Insights

• The Capitals have won 54.9% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (28-23).
• Washington is 10-10 (winning 50.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter.
• Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Capitals' implied win probability is 60.8%.
• Washington's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 32 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in 42 games this season, and won 15 (35.7%).
• Toronto has entered 21 games this season as the underdog by +130 or more and is 7-14 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto has played 43 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Capitals Key Stats

• Washington ranks 15th in the league with 246 goals scored (3.2 per game).
• The Capitals rank 12th in goals against, giving up 234 total goals (three per game) in league action.
• Its +12 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
• The 41 power-play goals the Capitals have scored this season rank 22nd in the NHL (on 233 power-play chances).
• Washington's 17.6% power-play conversion rate ranks 25th in the league.
• The Capitals have scored four shorthanded goals this season.
• Washington's 79.67% penalty-kill success rate ranks 13th in the league.
• Washington wins 49.3% of its faceoffs to rank 21st in the NHL.
• The Capitals connect on 11.2% of their shots (15th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 241 goals (3.1 per game), Toronto has the NHL's 16th-ranked offense.
• The Maple Leafs concede 3.5 goals per game (271 in total), 30th in the NHL.
• Its -30 goal differential ranks 26th in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have 39 power-play goals (25th in NHL) on 189 chances.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (20.63) ranks the team 16th in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have six.
• Toronto's has the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.33%).
• Toronto wins 54.4% of faceoffs, second-best in the NHL.
• With a shooting percentage of 11.8%, the Maple Leafs are eighth in the league.