Capitals vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 22

The Washington Capitals (11-8-2) will host the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-7-2) on Saturday, with Alexander Ovechkin coming off a hat trick in the Capitals' most recent game. Capitals (-125) versus Lightning (+105) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Washington won 8-4 on the road its last time out on Nov. 20 against the Montreal Canadiens. The Capitals got four points each out of Ovechkin (three goals and one assist) and Ethen Frank (two goals and two assists).

In its most recent game on Nov. 20, Tampa Bay claimed a 2-1 home victory against the Edmonton Oilers. Emil Martinsen Lilleberg (one assist) and Jake Guentzel (one goal) were among the six Lightning players who collected one point each in that matchup.

As hockey play continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to win Saturday's game.

Capitals vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Capitals 5 - Lightning 2
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Capitals vs. Lightning Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Capitals-Lightning game.

• Favorite: Capitals (-125)
• Underdog: Lightning (+105)

Capitals Betting Insights

• The Capitals have been victorious in nine of their 15 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (60.0%).
• Washington is 4-5 when playing with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter (44.4% win percentage).
• The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Capitals have a 55.6% chance to win.
• Washington and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in eight of 21 games this season.

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have been an underdog in six games this season, and won three (50.0%).
• This season Tampa Bay has won one of its three games when it's the underdog by at least +105 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline in this matchup implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Lightning.
• Tampa Bay has played eight games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Capitals Key Stats

• Washington has scored the eighth-most goals in the NHL (68 total, 3.2 per game).
• Defensively, the Capitals have been one of the stingiest units in league play, conceding 55 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank fifth.
• It has the league's third-best goal differential at +13.
• The 10 power-play goals the Capitals have put up this season (to rank 22nd in the NHL) have come on 62 power-play chances.
• Washington has the league's 24th-ranked power-play conversion rate (16.13%).
• Washington has the league's 29th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (72.06%).
• Washington has the 22nd-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 48.1%.
• The Capitals have a 10.9% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 17th in the league.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has 61 goals this season (3.0 per game), 23rd in the NHL.
• The Lightning have one of the best defenses in the league, conceding 57 total goals (2.8 per game), eighth in the league.
• it has the 11th-ranked goal differential in the league at +4.
• The Lightning have 10 power-play goals (on 65 chances), 22nd in the NHL.
• Tampa Bay has the NHL's 26th-ranked power-play percentage (15.38%).
• In terms of shorthanded goal, the Lightning have one.
• The 86.15% penalty-kill percentage of Tampa Bay is third in the NHL.
• At 44.6%, Tampa Bay has the NHL's 31st-ranked faceoff win rate.
• The 11.3% shooting percentage of the Lightning is 14th in the league.