Capitals vs. Flyers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 11
11 March 2026

The Washington Capitals (32-26-7) visit the Philadelphia Flyers (29-23-11) on Wednesday, March 11, with the Capitals coming off a victory in their last game and the Flyers a loss. The Flyers are underdogs despite being at home, at +114, and the Capitals are -135.
Washington claimed a 7-3 home victory against the Calgary Flames its last time out on March 9. Justin Sourdif had three points (one goal and two assists) for the Capitals.
Philadelphia played at home in its last game on March 9, and lost 6-2 against the New York Rangers. Jamie Drysdale (one assist) and Nikita Grebyonkin (one assist) were among the six Flyers players who put up one point each in that outing.
Here is our pick for who will claim the victory in Wednesday's matchup.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Capitals vs. Flyers Predictions & Pick
For the upcoming contest between the Washington Capitals and Philadelphia Flyers, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Capitals 3 - Flyers 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Capitals vs. Flyers Moneylines
Snag a look below at the latest moneylines for the Capitals-Flyers game.
- Favorite: Capitals (-135)
- Underdog: Flyers (+114)
Capitals Betting Insights
- The Capitals have gone 26-19 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
- Washington is 14-12 (winning 53.8% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter.
- The Capitals have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
- Washington's 65 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 27 times.
Flyers Betting Insights
- The Flyers have won 16, or 37.2%, of the 43 games they have played while the underdog this season.
- Philadelphia has a record of 12-20 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline in this outing implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Flyers.
- Philadelphia has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 29 of 63 games this season.
Capitals Key Stats
- Washington ranks 14th in the league with 206 goals scored (3.2 per game).
- The Capitals have allowed 190 total goals (2.9 per game), ranking 11th in NHL play in goals against.
- Its goal differential (+16) makes the team 10th-best in the league.
- The 32 power-play goals the Capitals have recorded this season (on 195 power-play chances) rank 23rd in the NHL.
- Washington has the league's 27th-ranked power-play conversion rate (16.41%).
- The Capitals have capitalized with three shorthanded goals this season (23rd among NHL teams).
- Washington has the league's 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (78.64%).
- Washington has the 17th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 50%.
- The Capitals connect on 11% of their shots (17th in the league).
Flyers Key Stats
- Philadelphia's 176 goals on the season (2.8 per game) rank 25th in the league.
- The Flyers allow 3.1 goals per game (197 in total), 16th in the league.
- it has the 21st-ranked goal differential in the league at -21.
- With 29 power-play goals (on 181 chances), the Flyers are 30th in the NHL.
- Philadelphia has the league's 30th-ranked power-play percentage (16.02%).
- The Flyers have five shorthanded goals (12th in league).
- At 78.35%, Philadelphia has the 21st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- At 49.1%, Philadelphia has the NHL's 20th-ranked faceoff win rate.
- The 11.1% shooting percentage of the Flyers is 14th in the league.
