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Capitals vs. Flames NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 9

09 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Washington Capitals (31-26-7) host the Calgary Flames (25-30-7) on Monday, March 9, with the Capitals coming off a defeat and the Flames a win. The oddsmakers have made the Capitals solid favorites at -192 on the moneyline, and the Flames are at +160.

Washington fell in a 3-1 defeat on the road its last time out on March 7 against the Boston Bruins. Three Capitals players recorded one point each, including Aliaksei Protas (one goal) and Jakob Chychrun (one assist).

Calgary won at home in its last game on March 7, 5-4 over the Carolina Hurricanes. The Flames got three points each out of Joel Farabee (two goals and one assist) and Morgan Frost (one goal and two assists).

Get ready for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Monday's contest.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Capitals vs. Flames Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Washington Capitals and Calgary Flames, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Capitals 4 - Flames 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.96 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Capitals vs. Flames Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Capitals-Flames matchup.

  • Favorite: Capitals (-192)
  • Underdog: Flames (+160)

Capitals Betting Insights

  • The Capitals are 25-19 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Washington is 1-2 (winning only 33.3% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -192 or shorter.
  • The Capitals' implied moneyline win probability is 65.8% in this matchup.
  • Washington and its opponent have posted more than 5.5 goals in 36 of 64 games this season.

Flames Betting Insights

  • This season the Flames have won 17 of the 49 games, or 34.7%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Calgary has gone 2-5 when it's been set as an underdog of +160 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline in this matchup implies a 38.5% chance of victory for the Flames.
  • Calgary has played 34 games this season that ended with over 5.5 goals.

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington ranks 16th in the NHL with 199 goals scored (3.1 per game).
  • The Capitals have allowed 187 total goals (2.9 per game), ranking 12th in league play in goals against.
  • It has the league's 11th-ranked goal differential at +12.
  • The 31 power-play goals the Capitals have put up this season (to rank 24th in the NHL) have come on 192 power-play chances.
  • Washington's 16.15% power-play conversion rate ranks 28th in the league.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Capitals have scored this season rank 23rd among NHL squads.
  • Washington has the league's 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (78.64%).
  • Washington wins 49.9% of its faceoffs to rank 17th in the NHL.
  • The Capitals shoot 10.8% as a team (18th in the league).

Flames Key Stats

  • Calgary has 153 goals this season (2.5 per game), 32nd in the league.
  • The Flames' total of 186 goals allowed (three per game) is 11th in the league.
  • it has the 29th-ranked goal differential in the league at -33.
  • The Flames have 30 power-play goals (on 186 chances), 25th in the NHL.
  • Calgary has the NHL's 29th-ranked power-play percentage (16.13%).
  • The Flames have eight shorthanded goals (second in league).
  • The 81.87% penalty-kill percentage of Calgary is ninth in the league.
  • At 48.7%, Calgary has the league's 22nd-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The Flames' 8.6% shooting percentage is 31st in the league.

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