Celtics vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - April 1

The Boston Celtics (50-25) square off against the Miami Heat (40-36) on April 1, 2026 on ESPN and FDSSUN.

Wednesday's matchup between the Celtics and the Heat sees the Celtics as 5-point favorites. The over/under is 228.5 points for the game.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, April 1, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 228.5 points
• Spread: Celtics -5
• Moneyline: Celtics (-215), Heat (+180)

How to watch Celtics vs. Heat

• TV Channel: ESPN, FDSSUN

Betting the Over/Under: Celtics vs. Heat

• The Celtics' 75 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 228.5 points 29 times.
• The Heat have played 52 games this season that have had more than 228.5 combined points scored.
• The teams combine to score 234.2 points per game, 5.7 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to score 224.7 points per game, 3.8 fewer points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Celtics vs. Heat

• Boston is 43-31-1 ATS this season.
• The Celtics have been favored by 5 points or more 41 times this season, and covered the spread in 23 of those contests.
• The Heat have put together a 44-31-1 ATS record so far this season.
• Miami has an ATS record of 10-7-1 when playing as at least 5-point underdogs this season.
• The Heat are 22-16 against the spread, and 24-14 overall, at home this season.
• Miami is 12-8 ATS as a 5-point underdog or greater at home.
• The Celtics are 24-13-1 against the spread, and 24-14 overall, away from home.
• Boston is 8-5 ATS as 5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Celtics vs. Heat

• The Celtics have been the moneyline favorite 53 total times this season. They've finished 39-14 in those games.
• The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 39 times this season and won 18, or 46.2%, of those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -215 or shorter, Boston has a record of 28-7 (80% win percentage).
• Miami has a record of 4-10, a 28.6% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +180 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Celtics' implied win probability is 68.3%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Celtics vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 5)
• Pick OU: Over (228.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 123 - Celtics 122
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!