Ravens vs. Patriots Week 16 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Baltimore Ravens (7-7) are favored by 3.5 points versus the New England Patriots (11-3) on December 21, 2025, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET, airing on NBC/Peacock. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 49.5.

From an offensive standpoint, the Ravens rank 14th in the NFL with 23.9 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 15th in points allowed (344.4 points allowed per contest). From an offensive perspective, the Patriots are generating 27.3 points per game (seventh-ranked). They rank sixth in the NFL defensively (19.7 points surrendered per game).

Ravens vs. Patriots Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• City: Baltimore, Maryland
• Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
• Total: 49.5 points
• Spread: Ravens -3.5
• Moneyline: Ravens (-180), Patriots (+150)

How to watch Ravens vs. Patriots

• TV Channel: NBC/Peacock

Betting the Over/Under: Ravens vs. Patriots

• Ravens games this season have gone over this contest's total of 49.5 points five times.
• Baltimore games have hit the over eight out of 14 times this season.
• Patriots games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 49.5 points in four of 14 outings.
• So far this season, eight of New England's 14 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• The two teams combine to score 51.2 points per game, 1.7 more points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams give up 42.6 points per game, 6.9 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Ravens vs. Patriots

• Baltimore has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Ravens have an ATS record of 3-5.
• The Patriots are 8-6-0 ATS this season.
• New England has won its only game this year when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• The Ravens have two wins against the spread, and are 3-5 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Baltimore has one win ATS (1-4) as 3.5-point favorites or greater.
• Away from home, the Patriots are 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
• New England is unbeaten ATS (1-0) away from home as 3.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Ravens vs. Patriots

• Baltimore has been favored on the moneyline 12 total times this season. They've finished 7-5 in those games.
• The Patriots have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won three of those games.
• Baltimore has a record of 5-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -180 or shorter (62.5%).
• New England has played as an underdog of +150 or more once this season and won that game.
• The Ravens have an implied moneyline win probability of 64.3% in this matchup.

Dunkel Prediction for Ravens vs. Patriots

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