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Orioles vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 21

21 August 2026 By Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles will look to Dylan Beavers, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the Tampa Bay Rays at 7:15 p.m. ET on Friday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Trevor Rogers (8-8, 4.15 ERA) will start for the Orioles, who are 61-67 this season and fifth in the AL East. Freddy Peralta (5-10, 5.27 ERA) is expected to start for the Rays, who are 76-51 and first in the AL East.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Orioles (-129) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Rays (+113) at home. The over/under for the Orioles-Rays game is set at 7.5.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
  • Favorite: Orioles (-129)
  • Underdog: Rays (+113)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Orioles vs. Rays

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Orioles vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Orioles have been favored on the moneyline 56 total times this season. They've gone 29-27 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has been underdogs in 40 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (47.5%) in those contests.
  • Baltimore has entered 37 games this season favored by -129 or more and is 20-17 in those contests.
  • The Rays have a win-loss record of 9-6 when favored by +113 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Orioles have an implied win probability of 56.3%.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Orioles vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Orioles have played in 128 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-60-3).
  • Tampa Bay's games have gone over the total in 58 of its 127 chances.
  • The Orioles have put together a 66-62-0 record ATS this season.
  • The Rays have an against the spread mark of 70-57-0 in 127 games with a line this season.
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