Avalanche vs. Stars NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 4

The best two squads in the Western Conference will clash when the Colorado Avalanche (49-15-10) visit the Dallas Stars (45-19-12) on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET. The Stars are slight underdogs, at -105, and the Avalanche are -115.

Colorado fell 8-6 at home in its last game on April 1 against the Vancouver Canucks. Sam Malinski had three points (two goals and one assist) for the Avalanche.

In its last game on April 2, Dallas secured a 3-0 home victory against the Winnipeg Jets. The Stars got two points each out of Arttu Hyry (one goal and one assist) and Adam Erne (one goal and one assist).

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we predict to bring home the win in Saturday's hockey contest.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Avalanche 5 - Stars 2
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.05 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Avalanche vs. Stars Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Avalanche-Stars game.

• Favorite: Avalanche (-115)
• Underdog: Stars (-105)

Avalanche Betting Insights

• The Avalanche are 48-23 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• Colorado is 48-23 (winning 67.6% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter.
• The Avalanche's implied moneyline win probability is 53.5% in this contest.
• Colorado's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 32 times.

Stars Betting Insights

• The Stars have won 10, or 62.5%, of the 16 games they have played while the underdog this season.
• This season Dallas has won nine of its 15 games, or 60.0%, when it's the underdog by at least -105 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 51.2% chance of victory for the Stars.
• Dallas' games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 35 of 74 times.

Avalanche Key Stats

• Colorado's 280 total goals (3.8 per game, on 6.6 assists per contest) lead the NHL.
• The Avalanche have given up 187 total goals (2.5 per game), ranking first in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
• It has a league-leading goal differential of +93.
• The 43 power-play goals the Avalanche have scored this season (to rank 19th in the NHL) have come on 240 power-play chances.
• Colorado has the league's 25th-ranked power-play conversion rate (17.92%).
• The Avalanche have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
• Colorado kills 83.49% of opponent power plays, the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Colorado has the eighth-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 51.1%.
• The Avalanche make 11.2% of their shots (12th in the league).

Stars Key Stats

• With 253 goals (3.3 per game), Dallas has the league's eighth-best offense.
• The Stars have one of the best defenses in the NHL, allowing 205 total goals (2.7 per game), second in the NHL.
• Its +48 goal differential is the third-best in the league.
• The Stars have an NHL-leading 67 power-play goals on 230 chances.
• Dallas has the league's second-best power-play percentage (29.13%).
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Stars have four.
• Dallas' has the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.87%).
• Dallas is seventh in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (51.6%).
• The Stars' 13.1% shooting percentage is second in the league.