Avalanche vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 16

The Colorado Avalanche and Pittsburgh Penguins -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will play on Friday at 9 p.m. ET, at Ball Arena in Denver. The oddsmakers have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -205 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +170.

Colorado had a 3-2 home defeat against the Dallas Stars in its last game on Oct. 14, falling in the shootout 2-1. Nazem Kadri's two points (two assists) led the Avalanche.

Pittsburgh played on the road in its last game on Oct. 13, and lost 5-3 against the Chicago Blackhawks. The Penguins got two points each out of Erik Karlsson (two assists) and Sidney Crosby (two goals).

Ahead of this matchup, here's who we project to secure the win in Friday's hockey game.

Avalanche vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Colorado Avalanche and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Avalanche 3 - Penguins 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5 goals)
  

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Avalanche vs. Penguins Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Avalanche-Penguins game.

• Favorite: Avalanche (-205)
• Underdog: Penguins (+170)

Avalanche Betting Insights

• The Avalanche have won 50.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (3-3).
• When playing with moneyline odds of -205 or shorter, Colorado is 3-1 (winning 75.0% of the time).
• The Avalanche have a 67.2% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
• Colorado's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals four times.

Penguins Betting Insights

• The Penguins have won three of the five games they have played as an underdog this season.
• Pittsburgh has not entered a game so far this season as a bigger moneyline underdog than the +170 odds on them winning this game.
• The moneyline in this matchup implies a 37.0% chance of victory for the Penguins.
• Pittsburgh has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in four of seven games this season.

Avalanche Key Stats

• Colorado's 31 total goals (4.4 per game) rank second in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Avalanche are conceding 21 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 11th in NHL play.
• Its goal differential (+10) makes the team third-best in the league.
• The five power-play goals the Avalanche have put up this season (to rank 12th in the NHL) have come on 25 power-play chances.
• Colorado is 12th in the league with a 20.00% power-play conversion rate.
• Colorado's 82.35% penalty-kill success rate ranks 14th in the league.
• Colorado wins 48.6% of its faceoffs (22nd in NHL).
• The Avalanche shoot 14.5% as a team (second in the league).

Penguins Key Stats

• Pittsburgh's 24 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank 13th in the league.
• The Penguins have conceded 21 total goals this season (3.0 per game), 11th in the league.
• With a goal differential of +3, the team is 11th in the league.
• With four power-play goals (on 24 chances), the Penguins are 17th in the NHL.
• Pittsburgh's power-play percentage (16.67) ranks the team 20th in the league.
• This season, the Penguins have one shorthanded goal (eighth in league).
• At 89.47%, Pittsburgh has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Pittsburgh is 28th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (45.6%).
• The Penguins' 12.1% shooting percentage is 13th in the league.