Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 10

The Colorado Avalanche (3-1) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-1) on Saturday, Oct. 10, with the Avalanche coming off a win and the Maple Leafs a loss. Avalanche (-218) versus Maple Leafs (+180) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Toronto was on the road for its most recent game on Oct. 8, and fell to the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3, losing a shootout 2-1. Eight Maple Leafs players had one point each in that outing, including Kirill Marchenko (one assist) and Christopher Tanev (one assist).

As hockey play continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to pick up the victory in Saturday's game.

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Colorado Avalanche and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Avalanche 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7 goals)
  

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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Avalanche-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Avalanche (-218)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+180)

Avalanche Betting Insights

• The Avalanche won 11 of their 17 games when favored on the moneyline last season (64.7%).
• Colorado played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Avalanche's implied win probability is 68.6%.
• Colorado and its opponent posted more than 6.5 goals in five of 17 games last season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs lost the only game they played as an underdog this season.
• Toronto has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +180.
• Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 35.7% chance to win.
• Toronto has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals just twice this season.

Avalanche Key Stats

• Colorado's 298 total goals (3.6 per game, with 6.3 assists per game) led the NHL last season.
• Defensively, the Avalanche were the stingiest unit in league action, conceding 197 total goals (only 2.4 per game).
• Its +101 goal differential was the best in the league.
• The 45 power-play goals the Avalanche recorded last season (on 263 power-play chances) ranked 20th in the NHL.
• Colorado had the league's 27th-ranked power-play conversion rate (17.11%).
• The Avalanche scored two shorthanded goals last season (30th among NHL teams).
• Colorado killed 84.62% of opponent power plays, the top percentage in the league.
• Colorado won 51.2% of its faceoffs to rank eighth in the NHL.
• The Avalanche had a 10.8% shooting percentage, which ranked 19th in the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 14 goals on the season (2.8 per game) rank 11th in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs give up 2.8 goals per game (14 in total), 17th in the NHL.
• Its 0 goal differential ranks 18th in the league.
• With three power-play goals (on 15 chances), the Maple Leafs are 14th in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (20.00) ranks the team 18th in the league.
• The 93.33% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is second in the NHL.
• Toronto wins 53% of faceoffs, seventh-best in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs' 9.7% shooting percentage is 23rd in the league.