Auburn vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament

The No. 12 seed Auburn Tigers (16-15, 7-11 SEC) are 7.5-point favorites in the SEC Tournament against the No. 13 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-18, 5-13 SEC) on Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena. The contest starts at 3 p.m. ET and airs on SEC Network, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's point total is set at 158.5.

Auburn is coming off of a 96-84 loss to Alabama in its last game on Saturday. In Auburn's loss, Kevin Overton led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding five rebounds and one assist). Mississippi State is coming off of a 102-96 loss to Georgia in its last outing on Saturday. Mississippi State got a team-leading 42 points from Josh Hubbard in the loss.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Auburn -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Auburn -329
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +256
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Auburn vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Auburn vs. Mississippi State

• This season, 19 of Auburn's 31 games have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 158.5 points.
• There have been 15 Mississippi State games that ended with a combined score over 158.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.7 points per game, 3.2 points more than the over/under of 158.5 for this game.
• The 162.1 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 3.6 more than the 158.5 over/under in this contest.
• Auburn has a 163.7 average over/under in its games this season, 5.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Mississippi State's games have an average over/under of 160.1 points this season, 1.6 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Auburn vs. Mississippi State

• Auburn is 13-18-0 against the spread this season.
• The Tigers have been favored by 7.5 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those games.
• Mississippi State has 10 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• The Bulldogs have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more eight times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• At home this season, Auburn is 11-4 overall and 7-8 against the spread.
• At home, Auburn is 5-3 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more.
• On the road, Mississippi State is 5-5 against the spread, and 4-6 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Auburn vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Auburn has won 13 out of the 20 games, or 65%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Tigers have a record of 7-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -329 on the moneyline.
• Auburn has a 76.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has been a moneyline underdog in 17 games this season and has come away with the win four times (23.5%) in those contests.
• This season, the Bulldogs have been victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +256 or worse on the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has an implied victory probability of 28.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.