Braves vs. Mets Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 5

Michael Harris II carries a two-game homer streak into the Atlanta Braves' game against the New York Mets at 12:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, at Truist Park. Martin Perez (6-5, 3.27 ERA) will start for the Braves, who are 52-35 this season and first in the NL East. Nolan McLean (5-5, 3.78 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets, who are 36-53 and fifth in the NL East.

Sportsbooks have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-198) at home over the Mets (+161). The over/under for the Braves-Mets game is set at 8.

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, July 5, 2026
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park
• Favorite: Braves (-198)
• Underdog: Mets (+161)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Braves vs. Mets

• TV Channel: NBC/Peacock
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Braves vs. Mets: Betting the Moneyline

• The Braves have been the moneyline favorite 66 total times this season. They've finished 43-23 in those games.
• New York has been victorious in seven, or 21.9%, of the 32 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 5-2 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -198 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have been listed as an underdog of +161 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Braves have an implied win probability of 66.4%.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 38.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves vs. Mets: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Braves have played in 86 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-41-5).
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 89 games with a total this season.
• The Braves have gone 46-40-0 against the spread this season.
• The Mets are 38-51-0 against the spread in their 89 games that had a posted line this season.