Braves vs. Mets Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 4

The Atlanta Braves play the New York Mets after Matt Olson hit a pair of home runs in a 5-3 victory over the Mets. The game begins at 8:08 p.m. ET on Saturday. Chris Sale (8-6, 2.10 ERA) gets the start for the Braves, who are 51-35 this season and first in the NL East. Sean Manaea (1-3, 4.71 ERA) is starting for the Mets, who are 36-52 and fifth in the NL East.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Braves (-172) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Mets (+141) at home. The over/under for the Braves-Mets game is set at 8.

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Game time: 8:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park
• Favorite: Braves (-172)
• Underdog: Mets (+141)
• Over/under: 8

How to Watch Braves vs. Mets

• TV Channel: FOX
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Braves vs. Mets: Betting the Moneyline

• The Braves have compiled a 42-23 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.6% of those games).
• New York has been victorious in seven, or 22.6%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has a record of 7-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -172 on the moneyline.
• This season, the Mets have been a moneyline underdog of -172 or longer four times, losing every contest.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Braves have an implied win probability of 63.2%.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves vs. Mets: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Braves have played in 85 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-41-5).
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 88 games with a total this season.
• The Braves have a 45-40-0 record ATS this season.
• In 88 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 38-50-0 against the spread.