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Braves vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 21

21 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves meet the Miami Marlins on Thursday at loanDepot park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. Spencer Strider (1-0, 2.45 ERA) will start for the Braves, who are 34-16 this season and first in the NL East. Sandy Alcantara (3-2, 3.53 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 22-28 and fourth in the NL East.

The Braves are currently a moderate moneyline favorite (-139) on the road at the Marlins (+117). The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, May 21, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Braves (-139)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+117)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Braves vs. Marlins

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Braves vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves are 28-10 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 73.7% of those games).
  • Miami has been victorious in five, or 22.7%, of the 22 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has entered 24 games this season favored by -139 or more and is 18-6 in those contests.
  • This year, the Marlins have won four of 15 games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Braves have an implied win probability of 58.2%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 50 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 22 of those games (22-25-3).
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of its 50 opportunities.
  • The Braves have put together a 33-17-0 record against the spread this season (covering 66% of the time).
  • The Marlins have an against the spread record of 21-29-0 in 50 games with a line this season.
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