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Braves vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 21

21 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins square off on Thursday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at loanDepot park. Spencer Strider (1-0, 2.45 ERA) gets the start for the Braves, who are 34-16 this season and first in the NL East. Sandy Alcantara (3-2, 3.53 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 22-28 and fourth in the NL East.

Even though the Braves are playing on the road at the Marlins, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -141, compared to the home team at +118. The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, May 21, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park
  • Favorite: Braves (-141)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+118)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Braves vs. Marlins

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Braves vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves have won 28 of the 38 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (73.7%).
  • Miami has won in five, or 22.7%, of the 22 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Atlanta has a record of 17-6, a 73.9% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Marlins have a mark of 4-11 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 58.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Braves have played in 50 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-25-3).
  • So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 50 games with a total.
  • The Braves have collected a 33-17-0 record ATS this season (covering 66% of the time).
  • The Marlins are 21-29-0 against the spread in their 50 games that had a posted line this season.
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