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Braves vs. Guardians Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - April 11

11 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves host the Cleveland Guardians at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, featuring a battle between top-five power hitters. Drake Baldwin has five homers (first in league) for the Braves, while Chase DeLauter is first with five dingers for the Guardians. Martin Perez (0-0, 3.86 ERA) gets the start for the Braves, who are 9-5 this season and first in the NL East. Parker Messick (1-0, 0.82 ERA) is expected to start for the Guardians, who are 8-6 and first in the AL Central.

Bookmakers have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-120) at home over the Guardians (+100). The total for the Braves-Guardians game is set at 8.

Braves vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park
  • Favorite: Braves (-120)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+100)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Braves vs. Guardians

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Braves vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Braves have won 75% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (9-3).
  • Cleveland has been underdogs in 12 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (58.3%) in those contests.
  • Atlanta has entered 10 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 7-3 in those contests.
  • The Guardians have a win-loss record of 6-5 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Braves' implied win probability is 54.5%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 14 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total six times (6-8-0).
  • Cleveland's games have gone over the total in six of its 14 chances.
  • The Braves have a 9-5-0 record against the spread this season (covering 64.3% of the time).
  • The Guardians have an against the spread record of 9-5-0 in 14 games with a line this season.
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