Aces vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 17

Kahleah Copper will lead the Phoenix Mercury (4-11) into a matchup with the Las Vegas Aces (10-4) one game after scoring 41 points in a 111-102 loss to the Sparks, on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on USA, The Spot-Vegas 34, and AZFamily.

In its last outing, Las Vegas fell short of victory by a final score of 96-66 against Dallas. The Aces were led by Jewell Loyd's 21 points and A'ja Wilson's 18 points.

Phoenix fell at home to Los Angeles, 111-102, in its last game. Its top performers were Copper (41 PTS, 10 REB, 53.3 FG%, 6-14 from 3PT) and Natasha Mack (11 PTS, 12 REB, 4 STL, 3 BLK, 55.6 FG%).

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Aces vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-6.5)
• Total: 171.5
• Aces Moneyline: -290
• Mercury Moneyline: +225

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Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Aces have an implied win probability of 74.4%.
• Las Vegas has put together a 10-4 record in games when it was listed as a moneyline favorite (winning 71.4% of those games).
• The Aces have compiled a 7-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• Las Vegas' 14 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 171.5 points eight times.
• The Aces have an average total of 172.8 in their outings this year, 1.3 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Mercury based on the moneyline is 30.8%.
• This season, Phoenix has been the underdog 10 times and won two of those games.
• The Mercury have won five games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Phoenix's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 171.5 points in seven of 15 outings.
• The Mercury have had an average of 167.6 points scored in their games so far this season, 3.9 points fewer than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Mercury

• Las Vegas puts up 90.2 points per game, just 3.4 more points than the 86.8 Phoenix allows.
• When the Aces score more than 86.8 points, they are 7-2.
• In 2026, Las Vegas' offense has been worse at home, where it averages 89.2 points per game, compared to on the road, where it puts up 90.8. On defense it has been much worse at home, where it gives up 93.4 points per game, versus road games, where it allows opponents to average 83.9.
• Phoenix puts up an average of 82.2 points per game, 5.1 fewer points than the 87.3 Las Vegas gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 87.3 points, the Mercury are 2-3.
• Phoenix scores more points per game at home (88.7) than on the road (77.9), but also allows more at home (98) than away (79.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.