Aces vs. Fever: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 5

Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever (11-8) play A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces (15-5) on Sunday, July 5, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN and Disney+.

In Las Vegas' last game, it defeated Chicago 98-90. The Aces were led by NaLyssa Smith, who finished with 29 points and eight rebounds, and Jewell Loyd, with 19 points.

In its most recent game, Indiana defeated Los Angeles 111-87 at home, with Mitchell (26 PTS, 69.2 FG%, 4-6 from 3PT) and Aliyah Boston (17 PTS, 7 REB, 3 BLK, 83.3 FG%) the standout performers.

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Aces vs. Fever Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Aces-Fever matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-5.5)
• Total: 183.5
• Aces Moneyline: -220
• Fever Moneyline: +176

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Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Aces have an implied win probability of 68.8%.
• Las Vegas has been favored on the moneyline 20 times this season. They've gone 15-5 in those games.
• The Aces have covered 12 times in 20 matchups with a spread this season.
• In seven games this season, Las Vegas and its opponents have gone over 183.5 total points.
• The average total in Aces games this season is 173.7, 9.8 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Fever Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 36.2% chance of a victory for the Fever.
• Indiana has been listed as the underdog three times this season and has failed to win any of those games.
• The Fever have won eight games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Indiana has played nine games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 183.5 points.
• The average total for Fever games this season is 175.1 points, 8.4 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Fever

• The 91.1 points per game Las Vegas records are just 1.1 more points than Indiana gives up (90.0).
• When the Aces score more than 90.0 points, they are 11-1.
• Las Vegas has scored at a lower clip at home than on the road in the 2026 season (90.1 points per game at home versus 91.8 on the road), and has allowed more points in home games than on the road (89.0 per home game versus 84.5 on the road).
• Indiana scores 7.3 more points per game (93.9) than Las Vegas give up (86.6).
• The Fever have put together a 7-6 record in games when they've scored more than 86.6 points.
• At home, Indiana is better offensively, scoring 99.3 points per game, compared to 84.7 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, conceding 91.3 points per game at home, and 87.9 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.