Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 14

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (13-11, 6-7 CUSA) play the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (12-12, 6-7 CUSA) as 3.5-point favorites on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 143.5 points.

Western Kentucky heads into this game after an 80-70 win over Florida International on Saturday. Grant Newell recorded 23 points, two rebounds and zero assists for Western Kentucky. In its last matchup on Thursday, Middle Tennessee earned a 90-87 victory against Kennesaw State. Sean Smith scored a team-leading 22 points for Middle Tennessee in the victory.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: E. A. Diddle Arena in Bowling Green, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Western Kentucky -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Western Kentucky -179
• Moneyline underdog: Middle Tennessee +146
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

• This season, Western Kentucky and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 143.5 points 15 times.
• There have been 11 Middle Tennessee games that finished with a combined score over 143.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 152.6 points per game, 9.1 points more than the point total of 143.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams give up a combined 146.9 points per game, 3.4 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Western Kentucky's games is 151.7 points, 8.2 more than the total of 143.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 4.3 points lower than the average over/under in Middle Tennessee's games this season (147.8 points).

Betting the Spread: Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

• Western Kentucky is 12-10-0 against the spread this season.
• The Hilltoppers have been favored by 3.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 5-5 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, Middle Tennessee is 8-13-0 this year.
• The Blue Raiders have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more seven times this season and are 5-2 ATS in those contests.
• Western Kentucky is 5-6 against the spread, and 7-4 overall, at home this season.
• As a 3.5-point favorite or greater at home, Western Kentucky is 4-5 ATS.
• This year away from home, Middle Tennessee is 5-4 against the spread and 3-6 overall.
• Middle Tennessee is winless ATS (0-3) on the road as 3.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

• Western Kentucky has entered the game as moneyline favorites 12 times this season and won nine, or 75%, of those games.
• The Hilltoppers have a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -179 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 64.2% chance of a victory for Western Kentucky.
• Middle Tennessee has come away with five wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Blue Raiders have been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +146 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Middle Tennessee has a 40.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee

• Pick ATS: Western Kentucky (- 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (143.5)
  
• Prediction: Western Kentucky 76 - Middle Tennessee 64