Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview/Prop Picks

05 August 2022

Tonight, the 36-71 Washington Nationals face off against the 57-48 Philadelphia Phillies. At first glance, it might seem as if the Phillies are an easy choice here. However, before we make our pick, we’re going to take a deep look at each of these teams.

The Nationals were able to claim a huge win over the New York Mets this week. Perhaps they can pull off another upset tonight.

The Philadelphia Phillies and their 57-48 record will see them come into this game as -209 favorites. After winning their last two games, the Phillies are looking to make it three in a row.

The question is, can Kyle Gibson earn them a win tonight? He’s struggled this season and has given up quite a few home runs. Let’s go over each team before making our pick for this one.



Philadelphia Phillies -209

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Washington Nationals: Nationals have lost two in a row

Although they’re on a two-game losing streak, the Nationals have had some big moments. Not long ago, they took down the Mets in a game they won 5-1.

They started off the game facing Jacob deGrom, but as the game went on, the Nationals turned up the heat. In the sixth inning, Washington scored three runs against the Mets. By the ninth, they had the game won.

Coming into this one, the Nationals will start Josiah Gray, who has a 7-7 record this season. With an ERA of 4.59, Gray actually has a better ERA than the Phillies starter.

The Nationals have also been pretty strong at the plate this season. They rank 11th overall in team batting average at .248 and 14th in on-base percentage (.315). This could help them pull off a win tonight.

Philadelphia Phillies: Kyle Gibson could spell trouble for Philly

With Kyle Gibson on the mound, the Phillies could be in a bit of trouble. This season, Gibson has a record of 6-4 with a 4.60 ERA. Through 107.2 innings, he’s allowed 101 hits and 15 home runs.

In one of his last three starts, the Phillies ended up losing to the Chicago Cubs 15-2. It’s a tough matchup, to be sure, but the Phillies should be prepared to pull Gibson quickly.

When it comes to batting, the Phillies are pretty even with the Nationals. As a team, they have a batting average of .247, ranking 12th overall.

They have an on-base percentage of .310, which ranks 19th, and have scored 485 runs this season. Consistency has been a big problem for the Phillies, which was evident in a 13-1 loss to the Atlanta Braves.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick

Each of these teams has a few things that they do well. For the Washington Nationals, it’s batting, and they have a slight advantage over the Phillies.

However, Nationals SP Josiah Gray has allowed 24 home runs in the span of 102 innings. This leaves a few openings for the Phillies to knock one out of the park, which could decide the game.

It’s also important to note that the Phillies are playing at home, where they have a 27-25 record. The Nationals are 19-31 when traveling, so we’ll have to take the Phillies -209 tonight. We are, however, going to take the under based on recent performances by these teams.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -209, UNDER

Prop Picks

Washington (-115) UNDER 3.5 Runs

Washington is averaging 3.83 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 26 in the league, with a team OPS of .690, which ranks No. 21. Scores have gone UNDER in four of the Nationals’ last six road games.

With Dunkel predicting a Philadelphia home victory by the score of 4-3, take the Nationals (-115) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Phillies.

Philadelphia (+105) Most Hits

Philadelphia is averaging 8.38 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 11 in the league. Washington is allowing 9.21 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 29 in the league. That average increases to 9.48 hits per 9 innings on the road.

With Dunkel predicting a Phillies home win holding the Nationals UNDER their Vegas run total, take Philadelphia (+105) to finish with more hits than Washington.

Kyle Gibson (+120) To Record A Win

Gibson has recorded 6 wins in 20 games started this season. The Philadelphia right hander has 5 wins in 11 starts at home compared to 1 win in 9 starts on the road.

With Dunkel predicting a Phillies home victory, take Gibson (+120) to record the win versus the Nationals.

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