Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview/Prop Picks
25 July 2022
The Washington Nationals will have their hands full tonight with the Los Angeles Dodgers. With a record of 32-65, the Nationals rank last in the NL East.
However, a win over the Dodgers could mean the potential to move up in the future. They’re coming off of a 4-3 win over the Oakland Athletics. Can they ride the wave of a road win when they take on Los Angeles?
The Dodgers come into this game as clear -313 favorites. Although the odds are terrible, it’s easy to understand why they’re favored so heavily. With an eight-game winning streak under their belt, the Dodgers look to extend it to nine.
The good news is they’re at home after sweeping the San Francisco Giants. They’re also starting one of their best pitchers tonight.
Washington Nationals: Is a shocking upset in the works?
We can’t count the Nationals out of this one too early. They’ve pulled off upsets in the past, such as a 7-3 win over the Atlanta Braves. There are a few questions to ask, though, such as who will be tasked with stopping the Dodgers?
The answer to this question is the 0-3 Paolo Espino. Although his record isn’t very good, Espino has an ERA of 3.57 this season.
The biggest problem we see for the Nationals is how they’ll perform at the plate. Ranking 13th in MLB, the Nationals have a batting average of .246. Although this average isn’t bad, they haven’t done much when it comes to converting it to runs.
Washington ranks 27th in the league in runs at 371. Against the Los Angeles Dodgers, this kind of performance won’t be enough.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Tony Gonsolin gets the nod tonight
Another difference between the Nationals and Dodgers is that the Dodgers have Tony Gonsolin. While the Nationals start a winless pitcher, the Dodgers will start an undefeated one.
With a record of 11-0, Gonsolin will hit the mound with an ERA of 2.02. His WHIP is .084, ranking him as one of the best pitchers in baseball right now. They’re also pretty great at the plate this season.
As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a batting average of .257, ranking fourth overall. In terms of runs, the Dodgers have put up 487 this season, ranking second overall.
Taking all of these things into account, the choice tonight becomes pretty clear. It also becomes clear as to how the Dodgers have won 64 games and ranked first in the NL West.
Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick
The Washington Nationals might be coming off of a win, but they’re no match for the Dodgers. Espino on the mound might help to start the game, but it won’t last very long.
The Dodgers put up seven runs against the San Francisco Giants last night. With the bullpen of the Nationals, we’re definitely going to take the over in this game.
Of course, we’ll also take the Dodgers at -313. Although the odds aren’t great, we have to remember the Dodgers are 63-29 as a favorite. In their last ten games against the Nationals, the Dodgers are 9-1 as well.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -313, OVER
Prop Picks
LA Dodgers (+100) OVER 5.5 Runs
Washington is allowing 5.63 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 30 in the league, with an opposing team BA of .268, which ranks No. 29. Scores have gone OVER in 12 of the Nationals’ last 17 games versus NL West teams.
With Dunkel predicting an LA victory by the score of 8-3, take the Dodgers (+100) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 5.5 runs against the Nationals.
LA Dodgers (-170) Most Hits
LA is allowing 7.09 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 2 in the league. Washington is allowing 9.25 hits per 9 innings, which ranks No. 29 in the league. That average increases to 9.61 hits per 9 innings on the road.
With Dunkel predicting an LA home win while going OVER its Vegas run total, take the Dodgers (-170) to finish with more hits than the Nationals.
Paolo Espino (+105) OVER 5.5 Hits Allowed
LA is averaging 8.66 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 5 in the league. Espino has allowed 59 hits in 58.0 innings pitched, which averages 9.15 hits per 9 innings. That average increases to 9.32 (29 hits in 28 IP) on the road.
With Dunkel predicting an LA victory while going OVER their team run total, take Espino (+105) to finish OVER 5.5 hits allowed against the Dodgers.
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