Washington Commanders at Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview/Prop Picks
30 October 2022
Time: 4:25 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 128.570; Indianapolis 126.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 36
Vegas Line & Total: Indianapolis by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Under
The Washington Commanders have a record of 3-4 heading into this game. Taylor Heinicke will get the start again, and he'll be facing Sam Ehlinger of the Colts.
After a 23-21 win over the Green Bay Packers, the Commanders are looking to add another win to their belt. Beating the Colts won't be easy, however, especially with Jonathan Taylor in the backfield.
The Indianapolis Colts have a 3-3-1 record as they head into this game. Last week, they lost 19-10 to the Tennessee Titans, a tough divisional loss for the Colts.
Now, the Colts will host the Washington Commanders, a team that has had better luck than them. Still, the Colts have a strong running offense that could win them this game.
Washington Commanders: Commanders need to get started early
The Washington Commanders aren't known for having a strong offense. However, after a 23-21 win over the Green Bay Packers, their offense is starting to build cohesion.
With Taylor Heinicke under center, the Commanders are in a much better position. Last week, he threw for 201 yards and a touchdown while only turning the ball over once.
The Commanders' defense ranks 19th overall, allowing 22.3 points per game. The Colts' offense doesn't have much in terms of passing, but rushing is different.
On average, the Commanders are allowing 118.3 rushing yards per game. To win this game, they'll need to make sure they stop Jonathan Taylor.
Indianapolis Colts: Ehlinger gets his first start of the year
The Indianapolis Colts decided to go in a different route this week. Sam Ehlinger will get the start in this game instead of Matt Ryan.
There are a few reasons for this, but turnovers seem to be the most prevalent. As an offense, the Indianapolis Colts rank nearly last in the NFL. On average, the Colts are putting up just 16.1 points per game.
With such a poor offense, it's not surprising that the Colts are 3-3-1. Technically, they have a better record than the Commanders. The difference here is that the Commanders have faced tougher teams.
The Colts' defense has done pretty well, however, allowing an average of just 20 points per game. So, between these two teams, which one is the best pick?
Washington Commanders at Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick
After looking at their schedule, it's hard to see why the Colts don't have a better record. They haven't faced many tough teams but are still 3-3-1.
The Commanders, on the other hand, have done much better against tough opponents. Because of this, we're going to go with the Commanders over the Colts.
This is likely going to be a game that comes down to the wire. The difference here is that the Colts are coming off a 19-10 loss. These losses can weigh heavily on a team, and that's what we think will happen here.
It might be a close game, but we'll take the Commanders over the Colts. We'd also recommend taking the under in this game.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Washington Commanders +3, UNDER
Prop Picks
Indianapolis (-105) UNDER 20.5 Points
Indianapolis is averaging 16.1 points per game on offense this season, which ranks No. 30 in the NFL. Scores have gone UNDER in 11 of the Colts’ last 12 games overall.
With Dunkel predicting a Washington victory by the score of 19-17, take the Colts (-105) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 20.5 points versus the Commanders.
Taylor Heinicke (-115) UNDER 211.5 Passing Yards
Washington is averaging 221.0 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks No. 19 in the NFL. That average decreases to 183.0 passing yards per game on the road.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas point total, take Heinicke (-115) to finish UNDER 211.5 passing yards against the Colts.
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