VMI vs. Citadel Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 17

The VMI Keydets (6-12, 1-4 SoCon) host the Citadel Bulldogs (4-14, 1-4 SoCon) at Cameron Hall, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Keydets are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The point total is 142 for the matchup.

In its last game on Thursday, VMI suffered a 77-67 loss to Mercer. In the losing effort, Linus Holmstrom led VMI with 18 points. Citadel is coming off of a 69-66 OT loss to UNC Greensboro in its most recent outing on Thursday. Braxton Williams' team-leading 25 points paced Citadel in the loss.

VMI vs. Citadel Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Cameron Hall in Lexington, Virginia
• Spread favorite: VMI -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: VMI -256
• Moneyline underdog: Citadel +207
• Over/Under: 142 points

How to watch VMI vs. Citadel

• TV Channel: ESPN+
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Betting the Over/Under: VMI vs. Citadel

• VMI and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (142 points) nine times this season.
• This season, seven of Citadel's games have ended with a combined score higher than 142 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 143.9 points per game, 1.9 points more than the over/under of 142 for this game.
• This game's total is 11.8 less than the 153.8 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• On average, VMI has seen a 150.1-point over/under in its games this season, 8.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Citadel's games have an average over/under of 147.7 points this season, 5.7 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: VMI vs. Citadel

• In VMI's 15 games this year, it has six wins against the spread.
• Citadel has played 15 games, with six wins against the spread.
• The Bulldogs have an against the spread record of 6-6 in their 12 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this year.
• VMI has two wins against the spread, and is 2-3 overall, at home this season.
• Citadel is 4-4 against the spread, and 0-8 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: VMI vs. Citadel

• VMI has split the two games it has played as a moneyline favorite this season.
• The Keydets have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -256 moneyline set for this game.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 71.9% chance of a victory for VMI.
• Citadel has been victorious in one, or 7.1%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This year, the Bulldogs have won one of 12 games when listed as at least +207 or worse on the moneyline.
• Citadel has an implied victory probability of 32.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for VMI vs. Citadel

• Pick ATS: Citadel (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (142)
  
• Prediction: VMI 75 - Citadel 70