Virginia vs. Notre Dame Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 27

The No. 17 Virginia Cavaliers (16-3, 5-2 ACC) visit the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-9, 2-5 ACC) at Purcell Pavilion, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 27, 2026. The Cavaliers are 9.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 140.5 points.

Virginia heads into this game on the heels of an 85-80 loss to North Carolina on Saturday. In the losing effort, Thijs De Ridder paced Virginia with 20 points. Notre Dame won its most recent game 68-64 against Boston College on Saturday. Braeden Shrewsberry totaled 22 points, four rebounds and one assist for Notre Dame.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 27, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Virginia -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -617
• Moneyline underdog: Notre Dame +450
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. Notre Dame

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. Notre Dame

• A total of 15 of Virginia's games this season have gone over Tuesday's over/under of 140.5 points.
• This season, 11 games Notre Dame has played finished with a combined score higher than 140.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 140.5 is 16.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cavaliers (83.8) and Fighting Irish (72.9).
• These two teams give up a combined 138.1 points per game, 2.4 less than this contest's over/under.
• Virginia has a 151.8 average over/under in its games this season, 11.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 2.5 points lower than the average over/under in Notre Dame's games this season (143.0 points).

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. Notre Dame

• In Virginia's 19 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• The Cavaliers have been favored by 9.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 6-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Notre Dame has 10 wins against the spread in 20 games this season.
• The Fighting Irish have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 9.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Notre Dame is 5-6 against the spread, and 8-3 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as a 9.5-point underdog or greater, Notre Dame is 4-3 ATS.
• This season away from home, Virginia is 4-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. Notre Dame

• This season, Virginia has been moneyline favorites 14 times and won 11, or 78.6%, of those games.
• The Cavaliers have been at least a -617 moneyline favorite eight times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Virginia, based on the moneyline, is 86.1%.
• Notre Dame has won in three, or 27.3%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Fighting Irish have been listed as an underdog of +450 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Notre Dame has an 18.2% chance of walking away with the win.