Virginia vs. North Carolina Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 24

The No. 14 Virginia Cavaliers (16-2, 5-1 ACC) square off against the No. 22 North Carolina Tar Heels (15-4, 3-3 ACC) as 7.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup's point total is set at 149.5.

Virginia came out on top in its last game 72-68 against SMU on Saturday. In the victory, Malik Thomas led Virginia with 23 points. North Carolina's most recent outing on Wednesday ended in a 91-69 win against Notre Dame. Caleb Wilson's team-high 22 points paced North Carolina in the victory.

Virginia vs. North Carolina Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
• Where: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Virginia -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -304
• Moneyline underdog: North Carolina +243
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. North Carolina

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. North Carolina

• This season, Virginia and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total of 149.5 points eight times.
• This season, 10 of North Carolina's games have finished with a combined score higher than 149.5 points.
• The Cavaliers average 84 points per game against the Tar Heels' 82.4, amounting to 16.9 points over the contest's over/under of 149.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 136.6 points per game, 12.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Virginia has seen a 151.1-point over/under in its games this season, 1.6 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 2.4 points lower than the average over/under in North Carolina's games this season of 151.9.

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. North Carolina

• Virginia is 12-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Cavaliers have been favored by 7.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 6-4 ATS in those games.
• North Carolina is 9-10-0 against the spread this season.
• Virginia is 6-4 against the spread, and 10-0 overall, at home this year.
• This season, as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home, Virginia is 6-4 ATS.
• North Carolina has one win against the spread, and are 1-3 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. North Carolina

• Virginia has entered the game as moneyline favorites 13 times this season and won 11, or 84.6%, of those games.
• The Cavaliers are undefeated in eight games this season when favored by -304 or more on the moneyline.
• Virginia has a 75.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• North Carolina has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Tar Heels this season with a +243 moneyline set for this game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that North Carolina has a 29.2% chance of pulling out a win.