Virginia vs. Florida State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 10

The No. 15 Virginia Cavaliers (20-3, 9-2 ACC) play the Florida State Seminoles (11-12, 4-6 ACC) on February 10, 2026 at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. The Cavaliers are favored by 7.5 points as they enter the matchup winners of four in a row and are 9-1 in their last 10 games. The matchup's over/under is 151.5.

Their last time out, Virginia won on Saturday 72-59 against Syracuse. Sam Lewis' team-high 16 points led Virginia in the win. Florida State won its most recent outing 82-79 against Notre Dame on Saturday. Chauncey Wiggins scored a team-high 22 points for Florida State in the win.

Virginia vs. Florida State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center in Tallahassee, Florida
• Spread favorite: Virginia -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -369
• Moneyline underdog: Florida State +280
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. Florida State

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. Florida State

• This season, Virginia's games have gone over this matchup's 151.5-point total 10 times.
• This season, 15 of Florida State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 151.5 points.
• The Cavaliers average 82.8 points per game against the Seminoles' 80.8, amounting to 12.1 points over the game's total of 151.5.
• The 147.5 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 4.0 less than the 151.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Virginia's games is 0.8 fewer points than the over/under of 151.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 8.9 points lower than the average over/under in Florida State's games this season (160.4 points).

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. Florida State

• Virginia is 13-10-0 against the spread this year.
• The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 7-7 in their 14 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Florida State's 23 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Seminoles have been installed as underdogs by a 7.5-point margin or more seven times and are 5-2 ATS in those games.
• Florida State is 8-5 against the spread, and 9-4 overall, at home this year.
• Florida State is 5-2 ATS as a 7.5-point underdog or more at home.
• In away games, Virginia is 4-3 against the spread, and 6-1 overall.
• Virginia is winless ATS (0-2) as 7.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. Florida State

• Virginia has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and won 15 (83.3%) of those contests.
• The Cavaliers have been at least a -369 moneyline favorite 12 times this season and won each of those games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Virginia has a 78.7% chance to win.
• Florida State has come away with two wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This year, the Seminoles have won one of six games when listed as at least +280 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida State has a 26.3% chance of walking away with the win.