Virginia vs. Cal Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 7

The No. 23 Virginia Cavaliers (12-2, 1-1 ACC) host the California Golden Bears (13-2, 1-1 ACC) at John Paul Jones Arena, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 7, 2026. The Cavaliers are 12.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 147.5 points.

Virginia enters this game after a 76-61 win against NC State on Saturday. Sam Lewis recorded 23 points, zero rebounds and one assist for Virginia. Cal is coming off of a 72-71 win against Notre Dame in its last outing on Friday. Dai Dai Ames scored 23 points in Cal's victory, leading the team.

Virginia vs. Cal Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Virginia -12.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -952
• Moneyline underdog: Cal +618
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. Cal

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. Cal

• Virginia and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (147.5 points) eight times this season.
• This season, seven games Cal has played finished with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
• The Cavaliers average 86.2 points per game against the Golden Bears' 81.5, totaling 20.2 points over the contest's total of 147.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 136.6 points per game, 10.9 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Virginia's games is 154.4 points, 6.9 more than the total of 147.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 2.5 points lower than the average over/under in Cal's games this season of 150.

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. Cal

• Virginia has eight wins against the spread in 14 games this season.
• This season, the Cavaliers have an against-the-spread record of 4-4 in their eight games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more.
• In Cal's 14 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
• Virginia is 4-4 against the spread, and 8-0 overall, at home this year.
• This year, as a 12.5-point favorite or greater at home, Virginia is 4-4 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. Cal

• Virginia has been the moneyline favorite in 10 games this season and won eight (80%) of those contests.
• The Cavaliers have been at least a -952 moneyline favorite six times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Virginia, based on the moneyline, is 90.5%.
• Cal has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Golden Bears this season with a +618 moneyline set for this game.
• Cal has an implied victory probability of 13.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Virginia vs. Cal

• Pick ATS: Cal (+ 12.5)
• Pick OU: Over (147.5)
  
• Prediction: Virginia 79 - Cal 71