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Vanderbilt vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 14

14 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 10 Vanderbilt Commodores (16-0, 3-0 SEC) visit the Texas Longhorns (10-6, 1-2 SEC) at Moody Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 14, 2026. The Longhorns are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 166.5.

In its last game on Saturday, Vanderbilt secured an 84-73 victory over LSU. Tyler scored a team-leading 20 points for Vanderbilt in the win. In its last game on Saturday, Texas secured a 92-88 win over Alabama. Jordan Pope scored 28 points in Texas' win, leading the team.

Vanderbilt vs. Texas Odds and Game Time

  • When: Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Moody Center in Austin, Texas
  • Spread favorite: Vanderbilt -5.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Vanderbilt -231
  • Moneyline underdog: Texas +190
  • Over/Under: 166.5 points

How to watch Vanderbilt vs. Texas

Betting the Over/Under: Vanderbilt vs. Texas

  • This season, Vanderbilt's games have gone over this game's 166.5-point over/under five times.
  • There have been five Texas games that finished with a combined score over 166.5 points this season.
  • The total for the matchup of 166.5 is 14.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Commodores (93 points per game) and the Longhorns (87.8 points per game).
  • This matchup's point total is 19.3 fewer points than the 147.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
  • Vanderbilt has seen a 165.1 average over/under in its games this season, 1.4 less than the over/under in this contest.
  • Texas' games have an average over/under of 162.8 points this season, 3.7 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.
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Betting the Spread: Vanderbilt vs. Texas

  • Against the spread, Vanderbilt is 10-6-0 this season.
  • The Commodores have an against the spread record of 7-6 in their 13 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
  • In Texas' 16 games this season, it has nine wins against the spread.
  • The Longhorns have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread twice.
  • Texas is 5-4 against the spread, and 7-2 overall, at home.
  • This season, as a 5.5-point underdog or greater at home, Texas is 5-3 ATS.
  • This season away from home, Vanderbilt is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall.
  • Vanderbilt has two wins ATS (2-1) as 5.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Vanderbilt vs. Texas

  • This season, Vanderbilt has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 15 games and won them all.
  • The Commodores have been at least a -231 moneyline favorite 12 times this season and won each of those games.
  • The implied probability of a win from Vanderbilt, based on the moneyline, is 69.8%.
  • Texas has been victorious in two of the five contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
  • The Longhorns have a mark of 1-3 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +190 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Texas has an implied victory probability of 34.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Vanderbilt vs. Texas

  • Pick ATS: Vanderbilt (- 5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (166.5)
  • Prediction: Vanderbilt 87 - Texas 78

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