Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 21

The Valparaiso Beacons (9-10, 3-5 MVC) host the Southern Illinois Salukis (8-11, 2-6 MVC) at Athletics-Recreation Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. The Beacons are 2-point favorites in the game. The over/under is set at 142.5 for the matchup.

Valparaiso is coming off of a 54-44 win against Northern Iowa in its last game on Saturday. In Valparaiso's win, Owen Dease led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding seven rebounds and one assist). Southern Illinois heads into this matchup on the heels of a 73-68 loss to Belmont on Saturday. Drew Steffe totaled 24 points, one rebound and four assists for Southern Illinois.

Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Valparaiso -2
• Moneyline favorite: Valparaiso -131
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Illinois +110
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois

• Valparaiso and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under (142.5 points) 10 times this season.
• A total of 10 of Southern Illinois' games have finished with a combined score higher than 142.5 points this season.
• The Beacons average 70.9 points per game against the Salukis' 76.1, totaling 4.5 points over the contest's over/under of 142.5.
• The 143.6 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 1.1 more than the 142.5 total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Valparaiso's games is 141 points, 1.5 fewer than the over/under of 142.5 set for this contest.
• A difference of 7.1 points separates the average over/under in Southern Illinois' games (149.6 points) and this contest's over/under (142.5).

Betting the Spread: Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois

• Valparaiso is 13-5-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Beacons have an ATS record of 4-2 in their six games as a favorite of 2 points or more.
• Southern Illinois has played 18 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Salukis have been installed as underdogs by a 2-point margin or more nine times and are 5-4 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this season, Valparaiso is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
• As a 2-point favorite or greater at home, Valparaiso is 4-2 ATS.
• On the road, Southern Illinois is 5-4 against the spread, and 2-7 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Valparaiso vs. Southern Illinois

• Valparaiso has won five of the six games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Beacons have a record of 5-1 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -131 on the moneyline.
• Valparaiso has a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Southern Illinois has been victorious in two of the 10 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Salukis have been victorious two times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Southern Illinois has a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.