Valkyries vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 9

The Golden State Valkyries (6-5) take the court against the Phoenix Mercury (4-8) at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, June 9, 2026 on KPIX, KOVR 13, and AZFamily.

Golden State, led by Gabby Williams with 15 points and six rebounds, fell short in an 84-79 defeat versus Las Vegas in their most recent outing. Veronica Burton added 15 points.

In its most recent game, Phoenix defeated Portland, 78-72, on the road. Its top scorers were DeWanna Bonner (19 PTS, 5 AST, 2 STL, 3 BLK, 40.0 FG%, 3-8 from 3PT) and Natasha Mack (16 PTS, 63.6 FG%).

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Valkyries vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Valkyries-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Valkyries (-6.5)
• Total: 161.5
• Valkyries Moneyline: -290
• Mercury Moneyline: +225

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Valkyries Betting Insights

• The Valkyries have an implied moneyline win probability of 74.4% in this contest.
• Golden State has won 83.3% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (5-1).
• The Valkyries have covered seven times in 11 matchups with a spread this season.
• In nine of 11 games this season, Golden State and its opponents have combined to score more than 161.5 points.
• The Valkyries have an average point total of 164.1 in their outings this year, 2.6 more points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 30.8% chance to win.
• Phoenix has been the underdog in seven games this season and won two (28.6%) of those contests.
• The Mercury have won four games against the spread this year, while failing to cover eight times.
• Phoenix has played eight games this season that have had more than 161.5 combined points scored.
• The Mercury's average game total this season has been 167.3, 5.8 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Key Stats for Valkyries vs. Mercury

• Golden State records only 0.9 more points per game (85.8) than Phoenix allows (84.9).
• When the Valkyries put up more than 84.9 points, they are 6-0.
• During the 2026 campaign, Golden State scores 2.2 more points per home game than on the road (86.8 at home, 84.6 on the road), but is allowing 3.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (79.0 at home, 82.2 on the road).
• Phoenix averages only 1.2 more points per game (81.7) than Golden State allows (80.5).
• The Mercury have gone 2-3 when they've scored more than 80.5 points.
• Phoenix scores 86.0 points per game at home, 7.4 more than away (78.6). On defense, it concedes 95.4 per game, 18.0 more than away (77.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.