Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 29

The Utah Valley Wolverines (15-6, 5-3 WAC) visit the Tarleton State Texans (11-9, 2-5 WAC) at EECU Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 29, 2026. The Wolverines are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 156.5 points.

Utah Valley is coming off of a 78-71 OT loss to Cal Baptist in its last game on Saturday. In the loss, Jackson Holcombe led Utah Valley with 22 points. Tarleton State dropped its most recent game 71-64 against UT Arlington on Wednesday. Tarleton State got a team-leading 17 points from Camron McDowell in the loss.

Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: EECU Center in Stephenville, Texas
• Spread favorite: Utah Valley -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Utah Valley -217
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +180
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• This season, six of Utah Valley's 18 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 156.5 points.
• This season, eight of Tarleton State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• The point total for the contest of 156.5 is 6.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (82.3) and Texans (80.2).
• This matchup's over/under is 13.0 fewer points than the 143.5 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Utah Valley's games is 5.0 fewer points than the over/under of 156.5 in this contest.
• Tarleton State's games have an average over/under of 154.5 points this season, 2.0 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• Against the spread, Utah Valley is 9-9-0 this season.
• This season, the Wolverines have an against-the-spread record of 6-5 in their 11 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• Tarleton State has played 16 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
• The Texans have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more five times this year and are 3-2 ATS in those games.
• At home this season, Tarleton State is 4-2 against the spread and 4-2 overall.
• Tarleton State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 5.5-point underdog or more at home.
• Away from home, Utah Valley has two wins against the spread and are 2-6 overall.
• On the road, Utah Valley has one win ATS (1-2) as 5.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• Utah Valley has won 12, or 80%, of the 15 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Wolverines are 9-2 this season when entering a game favored by -217 or more on the moneyline.
• Utah Valley has a 68.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Tarleton State has been a moneyline underdog in nine games this season and has come away with the win two times (22.2%) in those contests.
• This season, the Texans have been a moneyline underdog of -217 or more five times, losing every contest.
• Tarleton State has an implied victory probability of 35.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.