Utah State vs. Boise State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 18

The Utah State Aggies (22-3, 12-2 MWC) are favored by 9.5 points versus the Boise State Broncos (15-10, 7-7 MWC) on February 18, 2026 at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. The Aggies are flying, having won seven in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 152.5 points.

Utah State heads into this game following a 99-75 win over Memphis on Saturday. Michael Collins Jr. recorded 24 points, three rebounds and four assists for Utah State. Boise State is coming off of an 86-83 OT loss to UNLV in its last outing on Friday. Drew Fielder scored 27 points in Boise State's loss, leading the team.

Utah State vs. Boise State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 18, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, Utah
• Spread favorite: Utah State -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Utah State -541
• Moneyline underdog: Boise State +390
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Utah State vs. Boise State

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Utah State vs. Boise State

• Utah State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (152.5 points) 16 times this season.
• This season, nine games Boise State has played finished with a combined score over 152.5 points.
• The Aggies average 84.7 points per game against the Broncos' 79.3, totaling 11.5 points over the contest's total of 152.5.
• This matchup's point total is 8.8 fewer points than the 143.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• This season, the average over/under for Utah State's games is 153.8 points, 1.3 more than the total of 152.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 1.4 points separates the average over/under in Boise State's games (153.9 points) and this game's over/under (152.5).

Betting the Spread: Utah State vs. Boise State

• Against the spread, Utah State is 10-14-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Aggies have been installed as favorites by a 9.5-point margin or more 14 times and are 7-7 ATS in those matchups.
• Boise State is 13-11-0 against the spread this year.
• Utah State is 4-7 against the spread, and 10-1 overall, at home.
• Utah State is 3-6 ATS as a 9.5-point favorite or more at home.
• On the road, Boise State is 5-3 against the spread, and 4-4 overall.
• Boise State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 9.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah State vs. Boise State

• This season, Utah State has been moneyline favorites 22 times and won 20, or 90.9%, of those games.
• The Aggies are 12-1 this season when entering a game favored by -541 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Utah State, based on the moneyline, is 84.4%.
• Boise State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in eight games this year and has walked away with the win three times (37.5%) in those games.
• The Broncos have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +390.
• Boise State has an implied victory probability of 20.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Utah State vs. Boise State

• Pick ATS: Utah State (- 9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (152.5)
  
• Prediction: Utah State 86 - Boise State 77