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Utah State vs. Air Force Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 6

06 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Utah State Aggies (12-1, 3-0 MWC) play the Air Force Falcons (3-11, 0-3 MWC) as 22.5-point favorites on Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The over/under for the matchup is set at 138.5.

Utah State heads into this contest on the heels of a 96-78 victory against San Jose State on Saturday. In the victory, Michael Collins Jr. led Utah State with 23 points. Air Force heads into this contest after a 67-39 loss to UNLV on Saturday. Lucas Hobin's team-high 11 points paced Air Force in the losing effort.

Utah State vs. Air Force Odds and Game Time

  • When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, Colorado
  • Spread favorite: Utah State -22.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Utah State -6667
  • Moneyline underdog: Air Force +1788
  • Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch Utah State vs. Air Force

Betting the Over/Under: Utah State vs. Air Force

  • Eight of Utah State's games this season have gone over Tuesday's total of 138.5 points.
  • This season, seven of Air Force's games have finished with a combined score higher than 138.5 points.
  • The total for the game of 138.5 is 10.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aggies (85.6) and Falcons (62.9).
  • These two teams surrender a combined 140.5 points per game, 2.0 more than this contest's over/under.
  • This season, the average over/under for Utah State's games is 152.9 points, 14.4 more than the total of 138.5 points set for this contest.
  • Air Force's games have an average over/under of 136.1 points this season, 2.4 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: Utah State vs. Air Force

  • In Utah State's 12 games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Aggies are winless against the spread when entering a game as a favorite of 22.5 points or more.
  • Against the spread, Air Force is 6-8-0 this season.
  • This year, the Falcons won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 22.5 points or more.
  • Air Force is 4-5 against the spread, and 3-6 overall, at home this season.
  • In away games, Utah State has only one win against the spread and are 2-1 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah State vs. Air Force

  • This season, Utah State has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 11 games and won them all.
  • The Aggies have not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -6667.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 98.5% chance of a victory for Utah State.
  • Air Force has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (8.3%) in those games.
  • The Falcons have played as an underdog of +1788 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Air Force has an implied victory probability of 5.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Utah State vs. Air Force

  • Pick ATS: Utah State (- 22.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (138.5)
  • Prediction: Utah State 79 - Air Force 51

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