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Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns Betting Preview/Prop Pick

24 January 2022

The Utah Jazz is coming off a tough 94-92 loss to the Golden State Warriors. The last few weeks haven't been kind to the Jazz, and now they have to face the Phoenix Suns.

Unfortunately, they'll likely still be without Donovan Mitchell and could be missing Rudy Gobert as well. Can they take down the Phoenix Suns shorthanded? Or will this one go to Phoenix?

The Phoenix Suns have won six straight games and have a stronghold on the Western Conference. They're coming off of a win over the Indiana Pacers, 113-103. Obviously, the Suns come in as heavy favorites in this game.

Trusting them against the spread might be a tough task. Their history against the spread isn't great, so let's look at both teams and make our pick.

Utah Jazz: Another road game will put the Jazz on their heels

The Jazz head from California to Phoenix to continue their road stretch. These road games can be tough with all the traveling, but there is a bright side. The Utah Jazz is a pretty strong team on the road, boasting a 15-9 record.

If they're able to add Rudy Gobert back into the lineup, they could keep this game close. The key to beating the Phoenix Suns is stopping Devin Booker.

Now, if Donovan Mitchell were in, he'd be charged with guarding Devin Booker. However, he's still listed as "out" which means it falls to Joe Ingles. Putting points on the board will fall to Mike Conley, who averages 15.2 points per game.

Injuries are what will keep the Jazz from winning this game. However, with the right pieces in place and focus on Booker, they can keep it close.

Phoenix Suns: Looking to extend the win streak to seven

The Phoenix Suns are showing a level of dominance we haven't seen in some time. They're on a six-game winning streak, five of which were on the road. Their hold over the Western Conference continues to tighten, and we don't see it going away.

This game against the Jazz gives them a chance to increase their streak to seven games. The question is, can they cover?

The Suns come in as 9.5-point favorites here, and they only beat the Pacers by ten. Even with the injuries to the Jazz roster, Utah won't get pushed over. With a few of their best players out, they still kept the score against Golden State to 94-92.

Phoenix hasn't been reliable against the spread, and they're missing Deandre Ayton and Jae Crowder. This one could be really close.

Our pick for the Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns

When talking about reliability against the spread, neither of these teams should be mentioned. However, the Utah Jazz is 12-10-1 ATS when playing on the road.

Sure, they're missing a few pieces, but so are the Phoenix Suns. Over their last ten games against the Suns, the Jazz is 6-4, meaning they know how to beat Phoenix. 

It might sound like a long shot, but we like the Utah Jazz here +9.5. Phoenix is missing their best interior defender; if Gobert is cleared to play, he'll dominate the inside.

We don't think this is a game that the Suns will lose, just that they won't cover the spread. Especi

ally since they have an 11-12 ATS record at home.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Utah Jazz +9.5, UNDER

Prop Pick

Phoenix (-120) UNDER 116.5 Points

The Jazz are allowing 107.1 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 12 in the league. That average drops to 105.4 points per game on the road, which ranks No. 6. Scores have gone UNDER in each of their last four Utah games overall.

With Dunkel predicting a Phoenix victory by the score of 109-103, take the Suns (-120) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 116.5 points against the Jazz.

Chris Paul (-110) OVER 9.5 Assists

Chris Paul has had three straight games of double digit assists, bringing his per game average to 11.4 in January. Paul has also averaged 10.4 assists when the Suns win this season. Look for that streak to continue tonight against the Jazz. 

Be sure to check out all of today’s NBA picks!

 

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