Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview/Prop Picks

With the series tied at 2-2, one of these teams will break the tie tonight. The Utah Jazz barely won the last game, 100-99. It's clear that Utah is struggling to come up with answers for the Dallas defense.

Tonight, they return to Dallas after playing two games at home. If they can at least win one game on the road, they can return to Utah for Game 7. 

The Dallas Mavericks will look to end this series while they're still at home. The way their defense has performed this series has been incredible; their offense, not so much.

In order to close this series, they'll need a stronger showing from their scorers. Luka Doncic should be able to help with that since he's playing more minutes. Let's look at each team and make our pick.

Utah Jazz: Holding on by a thread after Game 4

To sum up this series, the word "surprising" comes to mind. The Jazz came into the series with one of the best offenses in the NBA. During the regular season, Utah ranked seventh overall in points per game, averaging 113.22.

In this series, they're averaging 105.25, which is a steep drop-off. Tonight, they'll hope to have a little more success on the offensive side of the ball.

The good news for the Jazz is they play pretty great defense against the Mavericks. It also helps that Dallas ranks as one of the worst offenses in points per game.

The Jazz needs to put pressure on the Mavericks to score. If they can break away and get a lead going, they could force the Mavericks to make mistakes. They can't afford to let Dallas control the pace tonight.

Dallas Mavericks: A weak offense continues to hold Dallas back

One of the most glaring problems with the Dallas Mavericks is their offense. Averaging 107.98 points per game isn't a recipe for success. At the moment, their defense has been able to keep the Jazz from running away with the series.

Tonight, we hope to see a stronger performance from the Mavericks' offense. We also expect to see Luka Doncic play more minutes tonight.

The Utah Jazz has a few players the Mavericks need to worry about. One of these players is Rudy Gobert. If the Mavericks can keep Gobert on his heels, they should be able to win this game.

They come in as 3.5-point favorites tonight, so they'll need a bit of offense to cover the spread. With Doncic playing more minutes, they should have the offense they need tonight.

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick

The Utah Jazz have had a tough time getting wins over the Mavericks. More importantly, the Mavericks' two wins are by a much larger spread.

Dallas returns home tonight, which will give them a slight advantage in this game. Because of this and the defense of the Mavericks, we'll take Dallas -3.5 today. 

We also think that this game will be more offensively focused for each team. One area where both groups have struggled is with scoring, but we think that changes today. Look for this game to go over the 213 total, similar to Game 3 of the series.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks -3.5, OVER

Prop Picks

Dallas (-110) OVER 107.5 Points

Dallas is averaging 108.0 points per game on offense, which ranks No. 24 in the league. That average holds steady at 108.0 points per game at home. Scores have gone OVER in eight of the Mavericks’ last 11 games overall.

With Dunkel predicting a Dallas victory by the score of 112-106, take the Mavericks (-110) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 107.5 points against the Jazz.

Rudy Gobert (-110) OVER 13.5 Points

Gobert averaged 15.6 points per game during the regular season, which ranked No. 4 on the Jazz. That average increased to 16.6 points per game in his last 10 regular season games.

With Dunkel predicting the final score going OVER the Vegas total, take Gobert (-110) to finish OVER his Vegas point total of 13.5 points against the Mavericks.

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