UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 21

The UT Arlington Mavericks (12-6, 4-2 WAC) host the Tarleton State Texans (11-8, 2-4 WAC) at College Park Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. The Mavericks are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5 points.

Their last time out, UT Arlington lost 86-74 to Utah Valley on Saturday. Casmir Chavis' team-high 20 points paced UT Arlington in the loss. Tarleton State is coming off of a 75-71 loss to Utah Tech in its most recent outing on Saturday. Tarleton State got a team-leading 25 points from Camron McDowell in the loss.

UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: College Park Center in Arlington, Texas
• Spread favorite: UT Arlington -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Arlington -175
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +145
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• This season, four of UT Arlington's 16 games have gone over Wednesday's total of 147.5 points.
• In Tarleton State's 15 games this season, 10 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's over/under of 147.5.
• The over/under for the matchup of 147.5 is 5.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mavericks (72.0) and Texans (81.0).
• These two teams surrender a combined 139.9 points per game, 7.6 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in UT Arlington's games is 10.1 fewer points than the over/under of 147.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 8.0 points lower than the average over/under in Tarleton State's games this season (155.5 points).

Betting the Spread: UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• In UT Arlington's 16 games this season, it has 10 wins against the spread.
• The Mavericks have been favored by 3.5 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread in all of them.
• Against the spread, Tarleton State is 10-5-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Texans have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those games.
• UT Arlington is 4-1 against the spread, and 4-1 overall, at home.
• UT Arlington is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 3.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Tarleton State is 3-6 overall, and 6-3 against the spread, on the road.
• Tarleton State has one win ATS (1-1) away from home as 3.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Arlington vs. Tarleton State

• UT Arlington has entered the game as moneyline favorites six times this season and won five of those games.
• The Mavericks have played as a favorite of -175 or more once this season and won that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for UT Arlington.
• Tarleton State has been victorious in two of the eight contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Texans have been victorious one time in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Tarleton State has a 40.8% chance of pulling out a win.