USC vs. Penn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 8

The USC Trojans (17-6, 6-6 Big Ten) are favorites, by 3.5 points, versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-13, 1-11 Big Ten) on February 8, 2026 at Bryce Jordan Center. The Nittany Lions are sputtering right now, going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is set at 155.5.

USC took care of business in its last outing 81-75 against Indiana on Tuesday. Alijah Arenas scored a team-best 29 points for USC in the victory. Penn State lost its last matchup 110-69 against Michigan on Thursday. Freddie Filione V scored a team-best 19 points for Penn State in the loss.

USC vs. Penn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
• Where: Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania
• Spread favorite: USC -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: USC -173
• Moneyline underdog: Penn State +144
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch USC vs. Penn State

• TV Channel: BTN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: USC vs. Penn State

• USC and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's total of 155.5 points 12 times this season.
• In Penn State's 23 games this season, 11 finished with more combined points than Sunday's over/under of 155.5.
• The Trojans average 81.4 points per game against the Nittany Lions' 76.1, amounting to 2.0 points over the matchup's point total of 155.5.
• The 155 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 0.5 fewer than the 155.5 over/under in this contest.
• USC has a 156.7 average over/under in its games this season, 1.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 0.4 points separates the average over/under in Penn State's games (155.9 points) and this contest's over/under (155.5).

Betting the Spread: USC vs. Penn State

• USC has played 22 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• The Trojans have an against the spread record of 6-8 in their 14 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Penn State's 23 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Nittany Lions have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 5-6 ATS in those games.
• Penn State is 8-5 overall, and 5-8 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Penn State has one win ATS (1-6) as a 3.5-point underdog or more.
• On the road, USC is 4-3 overall and 4-3 against the spread.
• USC is winless ATS (0-1) as 3.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: USC vs. Penn State

• This season, USC has been moneyline favorites 15 times and won 13, or 86.7%, of those games.
• The Trojans have a record of 12-2, a 85.7% win rate, when favored by -173 or more by bookmakers this season.
• USC has a 63.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Penn State has been victorious in one, or 7.7%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Nittany Lions have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +144 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Penn State has a 41% chance of walking away with the win.