UNC Greensboro vs. VMI Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11
11 February 2026

The UNC Greensboro Spartans (10-15, 6-6 SoCon) are big favorites, by 9.5 points, over the VMI Keydets (6-19, 1-11 SoCon) on February 11, 2026 at First Horizon Coliseum. The Keydets are struggling right now, going 0-10 in their past 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 151.5.
UNC Greensboro heads into this game following a 67-64 victory over Furman on Sunday. Justin Neely's team-high 24 points led UNC Greensboro in the win. VMI is coming off of an 87-70 loss to East Tennessee State in its most recent outing on Saturday. Linus Holmstrom scored a team-best 20 points for VMI in the loss.
UNC Greensboro vs. VMI Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: First Horizon Coliseum in Greensboro, North Carolina
- Spread favorite: UNC Greensboro -9.5
- Moneyline favorite: UNC Greensboro -450
- Moneyline underdog: VMI +350
- Over/Under: 151.5 points
How to watch UNC Greensboro vs. VMI
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: UNC Greensboro vs. VMI
- UNC Greensboro and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under (151.5 points) 14 times this season.
- In VMI's 22 games this season, eight finished with more combined points than Wednesday's point total of 151.5.
- The point total for the game of 151.5 is 1.7 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Spartans (77.3 points per game) and the Keydets (72.5 points per game).
- This matchup's point total is 7.4 less than the 158.9 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
- UNC Greensboro has seen a 157.6 average over/under in its games this season, 6.1 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- VMI's games have an average over/under of 151.1 points this season, 0.4 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: UNC Greensboro vs. VMI
- UNC Greensboro has played 23 games, with eight wins against the spread.
- The Spartans have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 9.5 points or more.
- VMI has played 22 games, with seven wins against the spread.
- This year, the Keydets have an against-the-spread record of 4-6 in their 10 games as an underdog of 9.5 points or more.
- UNC Greensboro is 4-5 overall, and 3-6 against the spread, at home.
- At home, as a 9.5-point favorite or greater, UNC Greensboro is winless ATS (0-1).
- On the road, VMI is 5-6 against the spread, and 1-10 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: UNC Greensboro vs. VMI
- This season, UNC Greensboro has won two out of the seven games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Spartans have played as a favorite of -450 or more once this season and won that game.
- UNC Greensboro has a 81.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- VMI has been victorious in two, or 10.5%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- The Keydets have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +350 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies VMI has a 22.2% chance of walking away with the win.
