UMBC vs. Maine Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 12

The UMBC Retrievers (14-8, 7-2 America East) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Maine Black Bears (6-19, 4-6 America East) on February 12, 2026 at The Pit in Memorial Gymnasium. The Retrievers are on a roll, having won two in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is set at 132.5.

UMBC heads into this game on the heels of a 79-62 win against Binghamton on Thursday. In UMBC's win, DJ Armstrong led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding three rebounds and zero assists). Maine is coming off of a 73-67 loss to Bryant in its last outing on Saturday. Logan Carey recorded 16 points, one rebound and four assists for Maine.

UMBC vs. Maine Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Memorial Gymnasium in Orono, Maine
• Spread favorite: UMBC -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UMBC -196
• Moneyline underdog: Maine +162
• Over/Under: 132.5 points

How to watch UMBC vs. Maine

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UMBC vs. Maine

• A total of 16 of UMBC's games this season have gone over Thursday's over/under of 132.5 points.
• This season, 10 of Maine's games have finished with a combined score higher than 132.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 132.5 is 4.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Retrievers (74.6) and Black Bears (62.8).
• This game's point total is 6.1 less than the 138.6 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, UMBC has seen a 144.0-point over/under in its games this season, 11.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Maine's games have an average over/under of 131.8 points this season, 0.7 points lower than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: UMBC vs. Maine

• Against the spread, UMBC is 10-10-0 this year.
• The Retrievers have an against the spread record of 5-5 in their 10 games when favored by 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• Maine has 11 wins against the spread in 24 games this season.
• The Black Bears have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more 17 times this season and are 9-8 ATS in those matchups.
• Maine is 3-5 overall, and 3-5 against the spread, at home.
• Maine has one win ATS (1-1) as a 3.5-point underdog or more at home.
• UMBC is 6-5 against the spread, and 5-6 overall, on the road.
• UMBC has two wins ATS (2-1) on the road as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UMBC vs. Maine

• This season, UMBC has won 10 out of the 12 games, or 83.3%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Retrievers have entered nine games this season favored by -196 or more and are 8-1 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.2% chance of a victory for UMBC.
• Maine has been victorious in four, or 19%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Black Bears have come away with a win two times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Maine has a 38.2% chance of pulling out a win.