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UMass vs. Buffalo Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 23

23 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The UMass Minutemen (12-8, 3-5 MAC) visit the Buffalo Bulls (13-6, 3-4 MAC) at Alumni Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 23, 2026. The Bulls are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.

In its last game on Tuesday, UMass earned an 84-82 victory against Toledo. Leonardo Bettiol totaled 20 points, nine rebounds and zero assists for UMass. Buffalo enters this matchup after an 82-63 loss to Akron on Tuesday. Ryan Sabol's team-high 26 points paced Buffalo in the losing effort.

UMass vs. Buffalo Odds and Game Time

  • When: Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Alumni Arena in Buffalo, New York
  • Spread favorite: UMass -1.5
  • Moneyline favorite: UMass -133
  • Moneyline underdog: Buffalo +111
  • Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch UMass vs. Buffalo

Betting the Over/Under: UMass vs. Buffalo

  • Seven of UMass' games this season have gone over Friday's total of 159.5 points.
  • This season, six of Buffalo's games have ended with a combined score higher than 159.5 points.
  • The Minutemen average 80.3 points per game against the Bulls' 80.2, amounting to 1.0 point over the game's over/under of 159.5.
  • The 149.5 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 10.0 less than the 159.5-point over/under in this contest.
  • UMass has seen a 154.9 average over/under in its games this season, 4.6 less than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Buffalo's games have an average over/under of 155.1 points this season, 4.4 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: UMass vs. Buffalo

  • UMass has played 19 games, with eight wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Minutemen have an ATS record of 3-9 in their 12 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
  • Buffalo is 11-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • This year, the Bulls have an against-the-spread record of 3-5 in their eight games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
  • Buffalo is 4-3 against the spread, and 4-3 overall, at home this season.
  • At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Buffalo is unbeaten ATS (3-0).
  • On the road, UMass has only one win against the spread and are 1-3 overall.
  • On the road, UMass is winless ATS (0-3) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UMass vs. Buffalo

  • UMass has been the moneyline favorite in 12 games this season and won eight (66.7%) of those contests.
  • This season, the Minutemen have won eight of their 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from UMass, based on the moneyline, is 57.1%.
  • Buffalo has been victorious in two of the eight contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
  • This season, the Bulls have been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Buffalo has an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

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