UCSD vs. UC Davis Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 12

The UCSD Tritons (16-9, 6-7 Big West) host the UC Davis Aggies (15-9, 8-5 Big West) at LionTree Arena, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 12, 2026. The Tritons are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points.

Their last time out, UCSD lost 72-67 to Hawaii on Sunday. Tom Beattie scored a team-high 14 points for UCSD in the loss. UC Davis' last game on Saturday ended in a 67-58 win over Cal Poly. Marcus Wilson put up 24 points, four rebounds and three assists for UC Davis.

UCSD vs. UC Davis Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: LionTree Arena in San Diego, California
• Spread favorite: UCSD -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSD -225
• Moneyline underdog: UC Davis +178
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch UCSD vs. UC Davis

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSD vs. UC Davis

• This season, UCSD and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total of 148.5 points 12 times.
• This season, 13 of UC Davis' games have ended with a combined score higher than 148.5 points.
• The point total for the game of 148.5 is 7.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tritons (76.8 points per game) and the Aggies (79.3 points per game).
• The 146.6 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 1.9 less than the 148.5-point total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for UCSD's games is 148.1 points, 0.4 lower than the over/under of 148.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 6.2 points separates the average over/under in UC Davis' games (154.7 points) and this matchup's over/under (148.5).

Betting the Spread: UCSD vs. UC Davis

• UCSD has played 23 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• The Tritons have been favored by 4.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 4-7 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, UC Davis is 13-9-0 this year.
• So far this year, the Aggies have been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this season, UCSD is 4-5 overall and 3-6 against the spread.
• At home, UCSD has two wins ATS (2-4) as a 4.5-point favorite or more.
• UC Davis is 5-5 against the spread, and 4-6 overall, in away games.
• Away from home, UC Davis is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSD vs. UC Davis

• This season, UCSD has won 12 out of the 19 games, or 63.2%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Tritons have a record of 7-4 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -225 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from UCSD, based on the moneyline, is 69.2%.
• UC Davis has been victorious in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Aggies have been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +178 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UC Davis has a 36% chance of walking away with the win.