UCSB vs. UC Davis Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

The UCSB Gauchos (15-7, 8-3 Big West) visit the UC Davis Aggies (13-9, 6-5 Big West) at University Credit Union Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 5, 2026. The Gauchos are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 148.5.

Last time out, UCSB won on Saturday 83-69 over CSU Fullerton. In the win, CJ Shaw led UCSB with 17 points. UC Davis enters this game after an 80-72 victory over CSU Bakersfield on Saturday. Connor Sevilla's team-high 27 points paced UC Davis in the victory.

UCSB vs. UC Davis Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: University Credit Union Center in Davis, California
• Spread favorite: UCSB -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSB -172
• Moneyline underdog: UC Davis +144
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch UCSB vs. UC Davis

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSB vs. UC Davis

• UCSB and its opponents have combined to exceed Thursday's total of 148.5 points nine times this season.
• There have been 12 UC Davis games that ended with a combined score higher than 148.5 points this season.
• The Gauchos average 79.3 points per game against the Aggies' 79.6, amounting to 10.4 points over the contest's over/under of 148.5.
• This game's total is 0.6 fewer points than the 147.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• UCSB has a 151.0 average over/under in its games this season, 2.5 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 7.3 points lower than the average over/under in UC Davis' games this season (155.8 points).

Betting the Spread: UCSB vs. UC Davis

• UCSB is 8-12-0 against the spread this year.
• The Gauchos are 5-9 ATS when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
• UC Davis has 11 wins against the spread in 20 games this season.
• This year, the Aggies have an ATS record of 4-2 in their six games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• UC Davis is 6-4 against the spread, and 7-3 overall, at home.
• At home, UC Davis is 3-3 ATS as a 3.5-point underdog or greater.
• UCSB is 4-4 overall, with just one win against the spread, in away games.
• UCSB is winless ATS (0-5) on the road as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSB vs. UC Davis

• This season, UCSB has been moneyline favorites 14 times and won 10, or 71.4%, of those games.
• The Gauchos have entered 13 games this season favored by -172 or more and are 10-3 in those contests.
• UCSB has a 63.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• UC Davis has won in four, or 36.4%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Aggies have been victorious three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
• UC Davis has an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UCSB vs. UC Davis

• Pick ATS: UCSB (- 3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)
  
• Prediction: UCSB 79 - UC Davis 71