UCF vs. TCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17
17 February 2026

The UCF Knights (17-7, 6-6 Big 12) host the TCU Horned Frogs (16-9, 6-6 Big 12) at Addition Financial Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 17, 2026. The Horned Frogs are 2-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 155.5.
UCF dropped its last matchup 74-67 against West Virginia on Saturday. In UCF's loss, Themus Fulks led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding four rebounds and seven assists). TCU's last outing on Saturday ended in a 95-92 victory over Oklahoma State in overtime. In TCU's win, David Punch led the team with 19 points (adding six rebounds and one assist).
UCF vs. TCU Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida
- Spread favorite: UCF -2
- Moneyline favorite: UCF -142
- Moneyline underdog: TCU +116
- Over/Under: 155.5 points
How to watch UCF vs. TCU
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: UCF vs. TCU
- UCF and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (155.5 points) 14 times this season.
- A total of 10 of TCU's games have finished with a combined score higher than 155.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 160.7 points per game, 5.2 points more than the point total of 155.5 for this game.
- This matchup's total is 5.7 fewer points than the 149.8 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- On average, UCF has had a 159.4-point over/under in its games this season, 3.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this contest is 4.5 points more than the average over/under in TCU's games this season (151.0 points).
Betting the Spread: UCF vs. TCU
- In UCF's 24 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread.
- The Knights have an ATS record of 4-8 in their 12 games as a favorite of 2 points or more so far this season.
- TCU is 13-12-0 against the spread this season.
- So far this year, the Horned Frogs have been installed as underdogs by a 2-point margin or more nine times and are 7-2 ATS in those games.
- At home this season, UCF is 12-3 overall and 7-8 against the spread.
- UCF is 4-7 ATS as a 2-point favorite or greater at home.
- On the road, TCU is 4-2 against the spread, and 2-4 overall.
- On the road, TCU is winless ATS (0-1) as 2-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: UCF vs. TCU
- This season, UCF has been moneyline favorites 12 times and won 11, or 91.7%, of those games.
- The Knights have a record of 11-1, a 91.7% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by bookmakers this season.
- UCF has a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- TCU has been a moneyline underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win five times (50%) in those contests.
- This season, the Horned Frogs have been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
- TCU has an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
